Will the 2026 US midterm elections take place as scheduled on 3 November 2026?
Happens
96%
price $0.96
Does not happen
4%
price $0.04
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$332.0kResolution: 31 December 2026
Events
Will Unitree Robotics' IPO market capitalization exceed ¥180 billion?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$325.2kResolution: 1 January 2027Will there be a military clash between Israel and Turkey before 2027?
Happens
11%
price $0.11
Does not happen
89%
price $0.89
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$320.9kResolution: 31 December 2026Will the Democratic Party win the 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate race?
Happens
62%
price $0.62
Does not happen
38%
price $0.38
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$320.2kResolution: 3 November 2026- 0 pp
Will Justice Samuel Alito retire from the Supreme Court before January 2027?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$319.5kResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will the US government take a stake in Spirit Airlines in 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$296.8kResolution: 1 January 2027 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 at any point in August 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$276.4kResolution: 1 September 2026Will Unitree Robotics' IPO close with a market capitalization above ¥250 billion?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$268.4kResolution: 1 January 2027Will a Democrat win the 2026 Wisconsin governor race?
Happens
81%
price $0.81
Does not happen
19%
price $0.19
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$248.7kResolution: 3 November 2026- 0 pp
Will Anthropic Have the Best Coding AI Model at the End of 2026?
Happens
59%
price $0.59
Does not happen
41%
price $0.41
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$242.4kResolution: 31 December 2026 Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election?
Happens
62%
price $0.62
Does not happen
38%
price $0.38
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$233.9kResolution: 3 November 2026- 0 pp
Will Drake be the most-streamed artist on Spotify in the U.S. in 2026?
Happens
83%
price $0.83
Does not happen
17%
price $0.17
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$217.9kResolution: 31 December 2026 Will Alibaba have the top-ranked Chinese AI model on the Chimera Arena leaderboard at the end of August 2026?
Happens
93%
price $0.93
Does not happen
7%
price $0.07
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$204.7kResolution: 31 August 2026Will Elon Musk be the world's richest person on 31 December 2026?
Happens
97%
price $0.97
Does not happen
3%
price $0.03
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$194.4kResolution: 31 December 2026Will Unitree Robotics' IPO closing market capitalization exceed ¥100 billion?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$192.6kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Bitcoin Fall to $70,000 or Below in August 2026?
Happens
13%
price $0.13
Does not happen
87%
price $0.87
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$192.4kResolution: 1 September 2026Will Tempo launch a governance token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$176.4kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Unitree Robotics' IPO close with a market capitalization above ¥60 billion?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$154.9kResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Will Iran carry out a military strike on Ukraine by 30 September 2026?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$152.7kResolution: 30 September 2026 Will Iran Fully Close Its Airspace by 31 December 2026?
Happens
26%
price $0.26
Does not happen
74%
price $0.74
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$151.7kResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Will Arc launch a token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
22%
price $0.22
Does not happen
78%
price $0.78
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$150.3kResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will the Fed Change Interest Rates at Its October 2026 Meeting?
Happens
72%
price $0.72
Does not happen
28%
price $0.28
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$146.4kResolution: 28 October 2026 Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Happens
50%
price $0.50
Does not happen
50%
price $0.50
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$143.2kResolution: 3 November 2026- 0 pp
Will Bad Bunny be the most-streamed artist on Spotify in 2026?
Happens
87%
price $0.87
Does not happen
13%
price $0.13
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$134.9kResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Tesla and SpaceX Officially Announce a Merger by 31 December 2026?
Happens
19%
price $0.19
Does not happen
81%
price $0.81
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$134.2kResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Which club will win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$124.1kResolution: 30 May 2027 Will another official GTA VI trailer be released by 31 August 2026?
Happens
33%
price $0.33
Does not happen
67%
price $0.67
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$108.8kResolution: 31 August 2026- 0 pp
Will the US Send a Warship Through the Strait of Hormuz by 31 July 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$105.8kResolution: 31 July 2026 Will the US carry out a military strike on Iran before 31 October 2026?
Happens
66%
price $0.66
Does not happen
34%
price $0.34
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$104.3kResolution: 31 October 2026Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Happens
21%
price $0.21
Does not happen
79%
price $0.79
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$96.2kResolution: 19 December 2026Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market capitalization on 30 September 2026?
Happens
93%
price $0.93
Does not happen
7%
price $0.07
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$94.5kResolution: 30 September 2026Will the Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec election?
Happens
72%
price $0.72
Does not happen
28%
price $0.28
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$92.9kResolution: 5 October 2026Will Manchester City Win the 2026-27 Champions League?
Happens
9%
price $0.09
Does not happen
91%
price $0.91
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$92.3kResolution: 30 May 2027Will Donald Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in person in 2026?
Happens
46%
price $0.46
Does not happen
54%
price $0.54
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$85.7kResolution: 31 December 2026Will Delcy Rodríguez Be Venezuela's De Facto Leader By The End Of 2026?
Happens
89%
price $0.89
Does not happen
11%
price $0.11
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$84.9kResolution: 31 December 2026Will Anthropic Have the Top AI Model on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard by End of 2026?
Happens
70%
price $0.70
Does not happen
30%
price $0.30
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$82.4kResolution: 31 December 2026