0 pp
Will the US government confirm that extraterrestrial life exists before 2027?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$62.71mResolution: 31 December 2026
Events
- +0.1 pp
Will the United States take sovereignty over Greenland before 2027?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$35.13mResolution: 31 December 2026 - +0.2 pp
Will MetaMask's token be worth more than $1 billion one day after launch?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$8.90mResolution: 1 January 2027 - +0.5 pp
Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least once in 2026?
Happens
15%
price $0.15
Does not happen
85%
price $0.85
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$8.72mResolution: 31 December 2026 - +0.1 pp
Will Base launch its own token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
11%
price $0.11
Does not happen
89%
price $0.89
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$7.42mResolution: 1 January 2027 - +3.8 pp
Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates in 2026?
Happens
65%
price $0.65
Does not happen
35%
price $0.35
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$6.04mResolution: 9 December 2026 - โ2 pp
Will OpenSea's token have a fully diluted valuation above $1 billion one day after launch?
Happens
11%
price $0.11
Does not happen
89%
price $0.89
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$5.42mResolution: 1 January 2027 - +0.1 pp
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Formula 1 Drivers' Championship?
Happens
75%
price $0.75
Does not happen
25%
price $0.25
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$5.20mResolution: 6 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will the Democrats win control of both the House and the Senate in the 2026 US midterms?
Happens
44%
price $0.44
Does not happen
56%
price $0.56
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$2.23mResolution: 3 November 2026 - 0 pp
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.51mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Polymarket launch an official platform token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
21%
price $0.21
Does not happen
79%
price $0.79
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$1.37mResolution: 1 July 2027 - โ7.9 pp
Will OpenSea launch a token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
11%
price $0.11
Does not happen
89%
price $0.89
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$1.24mResolution: 1 January 2027 - โ1.6 pp
Will Polymarket move its platform to a new blockchain in 2026?
Happens
43%
price $0.43
Does not happen
57%
price $0.57
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$734.1kResolution: 1 January 2027