0 pp
Will the Fed leave interest rates unchanged at its July 2026 meeting?
Happens
87%
price $0.87
Does not happen
13%
price $0.13
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$64.48mResolution: 29 July 2026
Events
- 0 pp
Will the Fed Change Interest Rates at Its October 2026 Meeting?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$31.91mResolution: 29 October 2026 - 0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates in 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$10.02mResolution: 9 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market cap on 31 July 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.60mResolution: 31 July 2026 Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.39mResolution: 31 January 2027Will the Fed change interest rates after its December 2026 meeting?
Happens
20%
price $0.20
Does not happen
80%
price $0.80
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.71mResolution: 9 December 2026- 0 pp
Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market cap at the end of 2026?
Happens
68%
price $0.68
Does not happen
32%
price $0.32
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.50mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will SpaceX have the highest market cap of any company that IPOs in 2026?
Happens
50%
price $0.50
Does not happen
50%
price $0.50
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.07mResolution: 2 January 2027 Will BP be acquired before 2027?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.07mResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market capitalization at the end of August 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$780.0kResolution: 31 August 2026 Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market capitalization on 30 September 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$688.7kResolution: 1 October 2026Will the Fed funds target upper bound end 2026 at three percent?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$504.3kResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Will China's 2026 GDP growth land in the four-to-five percent band?
Happens
97%
price $0.97
Does not happen
3%
price $0.03
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$247.2kResolution: 31 January 2027 Will the Federal Reserve leave interest rates unchanged at its January 2027 meeting?
Happens
67%
price $0.67
Does not happen
33%
price $0.33
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$242.9kResolution: 28 January 2027- 0 pp
Will China's official 2026 GDP growth land in the five-to-six percent bracket?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$88.1kResolution: 31 January 2027