0 pp
Will the Fed leave interest rates unchanged at its July 2026 meeting?
Happens
87%
price $0.87
Does not happen
13%
price $0.13
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$64.48mResolution: 29 July 2026
Events
- 0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve leave interest rates unchanged after its September 2026 meeting?
Happens
21%
price $0.21
Does not happen
79%
price $0.79
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$38.76mResolution: 16 September 2026 - 0 pp
Will Base launch its own token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
10%
price $0.10
Does not happen
90%
price $0.90
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$14.59mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least once in 2026?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$10.79mResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates in 2026?
Happens
85%
price $0.85
Does not happen
15%
price $0.15
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$9.21mResolution: 9 December 2026 Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$7.96mResolution: 1 January 2027Will the Democrats win control of the US Senate in the 2026 midterm elections?
Happens
53%
price $0.53
Does not happen
47%
price $0.47
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.62mResolution: 3 November 2026- 0 pp
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Happens
35%
price $0.35
Does not happen
65%
price $0.65
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.42mResolution: 30 April 2027 - 0 pp
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 Premier League title?
Happens
28%
price $0.28
Does not happen
72%
price $0.72
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.15mResolution: 30 May 2027 Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California governor election?
Happens
95%
price $0.95
Does not happen
5%
price $0.05
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.92mResolution: 3 November 2026Will Kamala Harris win the 2026 California Governor election?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.57mResolution: 3 November 2026- 0 pp
Will the GTA 6 launch be postponed again?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$800.3kResolution: 19 November 2026 - 0 pp
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Happens
22%
price $0.22
Does not happen
78%
price $0.78
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$455.1kResolution: 1 July 2027 - 0 pp
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LaLiga championship?
Happens
69%
price $0.69
Does not happen
31%
price $0.31
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$407.6kResolution: 30 May 2027 - 0 pp
Which club will win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$311.2kResolution: 30 May 2027 - 0 pp
Will Arc launch a token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
23%
price $0.23
Does not happen
77%
price $0.77
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$149.2kResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Josh Allen Win the 2026 NFL MVP Award?
Happens
11%
price $0.11
Does not happen
89%
price $0.89
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$8.1kResolution: 15 February 2027