0 pp
Will the Fed leave interest rates unchanged at its July 2026 meeting?
Happens
87%
price $0.87
Does not happen
13%
price $0.13
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$64.48mResolution: 29 July 2026
Events
- 0 pp
Will US tech layoffs be higher in 2026 than in 2025?
Happens
96%
price $0.96
Does not happen
4%
price $0.04
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$31.47mResolution: 1 March 2027 - 0 pp
Will Bitcoin close 2026 above $100,000?
Happens
12%
price $0.12
Does not happen
88%
price $0.88
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$28.58mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will the Democrats win control of the US House in the 2026 midterms?
Happens
86%
price $0.86
Does not happen
14%
price $0.14
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$17.41mResolution: 3 November 2026 - 0 pp
Who will win the 2026 college football Heisman Trophy?
Happens
16%
price $0.16
Does not happen
84%
price $0.84
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$16.98mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will the SAVE Act become law before 4 January 2027?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$13.31mResolution: 4 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will the United States take control of any part of Greenland in 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$11.18mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least once in 2026?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$10.79mResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for governor of Florida in 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$10.76mResolution: 3 November 2026 - 0 pp
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$9.94mResolution: 3 November 2026 - 0 pp
Will Ethereum be priced above $3,000 at the end of 2026?
Happens
33%
price $0.33
Does not happen
67%
price $0.67
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$9.80mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will GameStop Acquire eBay Before 2027?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$6.13mResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will Republicans control both the House and Senate after the 2026 midterm elections?
Happens
17%
price $0.17
Does not happen
83%
price $0.83
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$5.39mResolution: 1 February 2027 - 0 pp
Who will win the 2026 American League MVP award?
Happens
89%
price $0.89
Does not happen
11%
price $0.11
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$3.57mResolution: 8 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will Mitch McConnell resign from the Senate before the 2026 midterms?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$3.26mResolution: 3 November 2026 - 0 pp
Will LeBron James retire before the 2026-27 NBA season starts?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$3.25mResolution: 31 October 2026 - 0 pp
Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal levels before 1 October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$3.00mResolution: 1 October 2026 - 0 pp
Will Texas win the College Football Playoff National Championship for the 2026 season?
Happens
16%
price $0.16
Does not happen
84%
price $0.84
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$2.73mResolution: 23 February 2027 - 0 pp
Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal by the end of 2026?
Happens
13%
price $0.13
Does not happen
87%
price $0.87
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$2.69mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Claude be the top-ranked AI model on LM Arena at the end of 2026?
Happens
69%
price $0.69
Does not happen
31%
price $0.31
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$2.30mResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will Reza Pahlavi become Iran's head of state or government in 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.83mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.66mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Happens
60%
price $0.60
Does not happen
40%
price $0.40
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.55mResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal levels before July 2027?
Happens
43%
price $0.43
Does not happen
57%
price $0.57
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.50mResolution: 1 July 2027 - 0 pp
Will the US buy at least part of Greenland before 2027?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.50mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Apple release the iPhone 18 before 2027?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.28mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Troy Jackson be the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine in 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.17mResolution: 1 August 2026 - 0 pp
Will Donald Trump be Google's #1 most-searched person globally in 2026?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.05mResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.03mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Paramount Complete a Takeover of Warner Bros. Before July 2027?
Happens
19%
price $0.19
Does not happen
81%
price $0.81
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$934.6kResolution: 1 July 2027 - 0 pp
Will Nicolรกs Maduro still be Venezuela's head of state at the end of 2026?
Happens
81%
price $0.81
Does not happen
19%
price $0.19
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$876.5kResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will Grand Theft Auto VI be released before 1 January 2027?
Happens
92%
price $0.92
Does not happen
8%
price $0.08
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$808.9kResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Kawhi Leonard's next NBA team be the Toronto Raptors?
Happens
86%
price $0.86
Does not happen
14%
price $0.14
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$795.2kResolution: 21 October 2026 - 0 pp
Will Donald Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$741.0kResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will the 2026 Super Bowl champion visit the White House before the end of 2026?
Happens
28%
price $0.28
Does not happen
72%
price $0.72
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$615.6kResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother Season 28?
Happens
30%
price $0.30
Does not happen
70%
price $0.70
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$580.9kResolution: 7 January 2027