0 pp
Will the Democrats win control of the US House in the 2026 midterms?
Happens
90%
price $0.90
Does not happen
10%
price $0.10
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$26.25mResolution: 4 November 2026
Politics
- 0 pp
Will the SAVE Act become law before 4 January 2027?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$14.39mResolution: 4 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will the Democrats win control of both the House and the Senate in the 2026 US midterms?
Happens
62%
price $0.62
Does not happen
38%
price $0.38
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$11.62mResolution: 3 November 2026 - 0 pp
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for governor of Florida in 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$10.76mResolution: 3 November 2026 Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Happens
11%
price $0.11
Does not happen
89%
price $0.89
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$10.14mResolution: 26 October 2026- 0 pp
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$9.94mResolution: 3 November 2026 Will Donald Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$7.96mResolution: 1 April 2027Will California pass a one-time billionaire wealth tax in the November 2026 election?
Happens
25%
price $0.25
Does not happen
75%
price $0.75
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.89mResolution: 4 November 2026- 0 pp
Will Mitch McConnell resign from the Senate before the 2026 midterms?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$3.84mResolution: 3 November 2026 - 0 pp
Will the Democrats win control of the US Senate in the 2026 midterm elections?
Happens
63%
price $0.63
Does not happen
37%
price $0.37
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$3.64mResolution: 3 November 2026 - 0 pp
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Happens
41%
price $0.41
Does not happen
59%
price $0.59
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$3.50mResolution: 19 April 2027 Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.41mResolution: 5 October 2026- 0 pp
Will Donald Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$3.06mResolution: 31 December 2026 Will Donald Trump leave office as US President before 31 August 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.83mResolution: 1 September 2026- 0 pp
Will Donald Trump be out as US President by 31 July 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.75mResolution: 31 July 2026 Will Friedrich Merz stop being Chancellor of Germany before the end of 2026?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.26mResolution: 1 January 2027Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California governor election?
Happens
96%
price $0.96
Does not happen
4%
price $0.04
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.12mResolution: 4 November 2026Will Chad Bianco win the 2026 California Governor election?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.95mResolution: 4 November 2026Will Mitch McConnell leave the Senate before his term ends?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.77mResolution: 4 January 2027Will the Republican candidate win the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race?
Happens
37%
price $0.37
Does not happen
63%
price $0.63
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.69mResolution: 4 November 2026Will Kamala Harris win the 2026 California Governor election?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.57mResolution: 4 November 2026- 0 pp
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Happens
50%
price $0.50
Does not happen
50%
price $0.50
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.47mResolution: 3 June 2026 Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Maine U.S. Senate race?
Happens
59%
price $0.59
Does not happen
41%
price $0.41
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.24mResolution: 4 November 2026- 0 pp
Will Troy Jackson be the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine in 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.17mResolution: 1 August 2026 Will the Democratic Party win the 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate race?
Happens
70%
price $0.70
Does not happen
30%
price $0.30
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$913.3kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Miguel Díaz-Canel cease to be president of Cuba by 31 December 2026?
Happens
11%
price $0.11
Does not happen
89%
price $0.89
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$743.9kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election?
Happens
73%
price $0.73
Does not happen
27%
price $0.27
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$736.6kResolution: 4 November 2026Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election?
Happens
62%
price $0.62
Does not happen
38%
price $0.38
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$682.8kResolution: 4 November 2026Will the 2026 US midterm elections take place as scheduled on 3 November 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$631.1kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Count Binface finish second in the Clacton by-election?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$581.2kResolution: 13 August 2026Will Republicans win the 2026 Kansas U.S. Senate race?
Happens
63%
price $0.63
Does not happen
37%
price $0.37
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$514.9kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Pete Hegseth leave the role of US Secretary of Defense by 31 December 2026?
Happens
18%
price $0.18
Does not happen
82%
price $0.82
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$497.3kResolution: 31 December 2026Will Pedro Sánchez cease to be Prime Minister of Spain by 31 December 2026?
Happens
23%
price $0.23
Does not happen
77%
price $0.77
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$432.9kResolution: 1 January 2027Will the Democratic Party win the 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate race?
Happens
16%
price $0.16
Does not happen
84%
price $0.84
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$421.4kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Republicans win the 2026 Iowa U.S. Senate race?
Happens
59%
price $0.59
Does not happen
41%
price $0.41
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$383.7kResolution: 4 November 2026Will a Democrat win the 2026 Wisconsin governor race?
Happens
81%
price $0.81
Does not happen
19%
price $0.19
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$366.5kResolution: 4 November 2026