Events

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36 events / 271

0 pp
Will the US government confirm that extraterrestrial life exists before 2027?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$64.69mActual outcome: No
0 pp
Will the Fed leave interest rates unchanged at its July 2026 meeting?
Happens
87%
price $0.87
Does not happen
13%
price $0.13
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$64.48mResolution: 29 July 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will the United States launch a ground invasion of Iran before 2027?
Happens
17%
price $0.17
Does not happen
83%
price $0.83
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$59.48mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will China launch a military invasion of Taiwan before the end of 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$40.02mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Who will win the 2026 World Series?
Happens
68%
price $0.68
Does not happen
32%
price $0.32
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$39.54mResolution: 31 October 2026
Open on Binance Wallet
0 pp
Will the United States take sovereignty over Greenland before 2027?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$35.35mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Who will be Israel's next prime minister after the 2026 election?
Happens
58%
price $0.58
Does not happen
42%
price $0.42
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$32.97mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will US tech layoffs be higher in 2026 than in 2025?
Happens
92%
price $0.92
Does not happen
8%
price $0.08
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$31.45mResolution: 1 March 2027
0 pp
Will Bitcoin close 2026 above $100,000?
Happens
14%
price $0.14
Does not happen
86%
price $0.86
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$26.51mResolution: 1 January 2027
0 pp
Will Iran's regime fall before 2027?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$24.87mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will OpenSea's token have a fully diluted valuation above $1 billion one day after launch?
Happens
9%
price $0.09
Does not happen
91%
price $0.91
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$22.25mResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Predict.fun
0 pp
Will MetaMask's token be worth more than $1 billion one day after launch?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$20.07mResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Predict.fun
0 pp
Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal levels by 31 August 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$19.94mActual outcome: No
0 pp
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be President of Russia by 31 December 2026?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$19.63mActual outcome: No
0 pp
Will the WHO declare a hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$17.92mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Polymarket move its platform to a new blockchain in 2026?
Happens
17%
price $0.17
Does not happen
83%
price $0.83
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$15.37mResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Predict.fun
0 pp
Will the Democrats win control of the US House in the 2026 midterms?
Happens
85%
price $0.85
Does not happen
15%
price $0.15
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$15.04mResolution: 3 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Base launch its own token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
12%
price $0.12
Does not happen
88%
price $0.88
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$14.46mResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Binance Wallet
0 pp
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before 2027?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$12.61mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will the SAVE Act become law before 4 January 2027?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$12.09mResolution: 4 January 2027
0 pp
Will Polymarket launch an official platform token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
13%
price $0.13
Does not happen
87%
price $0.87
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$11.45mActual outcome: No
0 pp
Will the United States take control of any part of Greenland in 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$11.08mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for governor of Florida in 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$10.76mResolution: 3 November 2026
0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve leave interest rates unchanged after its September 2026 meeting?
Happens
68%
price $0.68
Does not happen
32%
price $0.32
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$10.42mResolution: 16 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$9.94mResolution: 3 November 2026
0 pp
Will Ethereum be priced above $3,000 at the end of 2026?
Happens
29%
price $0.29
Does not happen
71%
price $0.71
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$9.77mResolution: 1 January 2027
0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least once in 2026?
Happens
14%
price $0.14
Does not happen
86%
price $0.86
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$9.75mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will the Democrats win control of both the House and the Senate in the 2026 US midterms?
Happens
47%
price $0.47
Does not happen
53%
price $0.53
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$9.72mResolution: 3 November 2026
Open on Predict.fun
0 pp
Will the Clarity Act (H.R.3633) be signed into law in 2026?
Happens
14%
price $0.14
Does not happen
86%
price $0.86
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$9.24mResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Lula win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
Happens
63%
price $0.63
Does not happen
37%
price $0.37
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$8.90mResolution: 4 October 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$7.96mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates in 2026?
Happens
55%
price $0.55
Does not happen
45%
price $0.45
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$7.89mResolution: 9 December 2026
Open on Binance Wallet
0 pp
Will United Russia gain the most seats of any party in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election?
Happens
71%
price $0.71
Does not happen
29%
price $0.29
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$7.69mResolution: 30 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Donald Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$7.56mResolution: 10 October 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Who will win the 2026 college football Heisman Trophy?
Happens
12%
price $0.12
Does not happen
88%
price $0.88
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$6.95mResolution: 1 January 2027
0 pp
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
Happens
68%
price $0.68
Does not happen
32%
price $0.32
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$6.64mActual outcome: No

Events

Will the US government confirm that extraterrestrial life exists before 2027?

Will the Fed leave interest rates unchanged at its July 2026 meeting?

Will the United States launch a ground invasion of Iran before 2027?

Will China launch a military invasion of Taiwan before the end of 2026?

Who will win the 2026 World Series?

Will the United States take sovereignty over Greenland before 2027?

Who will be Israel's next prime minister after the 2026 election?

Will US tech layoffs be higher in 2026 than in 2025?

Will Bitcoin close 2026 above $100,000?

Will Iran's regime fall before 2027?

Will OpenSea's token have a fully diluted valuation above $1 billion one day after launch?

Will MetaMask's token be worth more than $1 billion one day after launch?

Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal levels by 31 August 2026?

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be President of Russia by 31 December 2026?

Will the WHO declare a hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Will Polymarket move its platform to a new blockchain in 2026?

Will the Democrats win control of the US House in the 2026 midterms?

Will Base launch its own token by 31 December 2026?

Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before 2027?

Will the SAVE Act become law before 4 January 2027?

Will Polymarket launch an official platform token by 31 December 2026?

Will the United States take control of any part of Greenland in 2026?

Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for governor of Florida in 2026?

Will the Federal Reserve leave interest rates unchanged after its September 2026 meeting?

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary?

Will Ethereum be priced above $3,000 at the end of 2026?

Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least once in 2026?

Will the Democrats win control of both the House and the Senate in the 2026 US midterms?

Will the Clarity Act (H.R.3633) be signed into law in 2026?

Will Lula win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?

Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates in 2026?

Will United Russia gain the most seats of any party in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election?

Will Donald Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?

Who will win the 2026 college football Heisman Trophy?

Will Darline Graham Nordone win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?