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36 events / 178

0 pp
Will the Fed leave interest rates unchanged at its July 2026 meeting?
Happens
87%
price $0.87
Does not happen
13%
price $0.13
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$64.48mResolution: 29 July 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will the United States launch a ground invasion of Iran before 2027?
Happens
19%
price $0.19
Does not happen
81%
price $0.81
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$58.34mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will China launch a military invasion of Taiwan before the end of 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$39.62mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Who will win the 2026 World Series?
Happens
37%
price $0.37
Does not happen
63%
price $0.63
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$38.85mResolution: 31 October 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will the United States take sovereignty over Greenland before 2027?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$35.26mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Who will be Israel's next prime minister after the 2026 election?
Happens
52%
price $0.52
Does not happen
48%
price $0.48
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$31.82mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will US tech layoffs be higher in 2026 than in 2025?
Happens
91%
price $0.91
Does not happen
9%
price $0.09
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$31.44mResolution: 1 March 2027
0 pp
Will Bitcoin close 2026 above $100,000?
Happens
12%
price $0.12
Does not happen
88%
price $0.88
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$25.28mResolution: 1 January 2027
0 pp
Will Iran's regime fall before 2027?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$24.61mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will the WHO declare a hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$17.79mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal levels by 31 August 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$15.53mResolution: 31 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will the Democrats win control of the US House in the 2026 midterms?
Happens
86%
price $0.86
Does not happen
14%
price $0.14
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$14.35mResolution: 3 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before 2027?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$12.04mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will the SAVE Act become law before 4 January 2027?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$11.36mResolution: 4 January 2027
0 pp
Will the United States take control of any part of Greenland in 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$11.05mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$9.94mResolution: 3 November 2026
0 pp
Will Ethereum be priced above $3,000 at the end of 2026?
Happens
17%
price $0.17
Does not happen
83%
price $0.83
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$9.73mResolution: 1 January 2027
0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least once in 2026?
Happens
14%
price $0.14
Does not happen
86%
price $0.86
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$9.34mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will MetaMask's token be worth more than $1 billion one day after launch?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$8.91mResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Predict.fun
0 pp
Will Lula win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
Happens
64%
price $0.64
Does not happen
36%
price $0.36
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$8.22mResolution: 4 October 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$7.95mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Base launch its own token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
10%
price $0.10
Does not happen
90%
price $0.90
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$7.55mResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Binance Wallet
Will Donald Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$7.54mResolution: 10 October 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates in 2026?
Happens
57%
price $0.57
Does not happen
43%
price $0.43
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$7.19mResolution: 9 December 2026
Open on Binance Wallet
0 pp
Will United Russia gain the most seats of any party in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election?
Happens
68%
price $0.68
Does not happen
32%
price $0.32
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$6.62mResolution: 30 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will the Clarity Act (H.R.3633) be signed into law in 2026?
Happens
17%
price $0.17
Does not happen
83%
price $0.83
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$6.52mResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve leave interest rates unchanged after its September 2026 meeting?
Happens
62%
price $0.62
Does not happen
38%
price $0.38
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$6.36mResolution: 16 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran's de facto head of state at the end of 2026?
Happens
81%
price $0.81
Does not happen
19%
price $0.19
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$5.96mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will OpenSea's token have a fully diluted valuation above $1 billion one day after launch?
Happens
9%
price $0.09
Does not happen
91%
price $0.91
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$5.44mResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Predict.fun
0 pp
Will GameStop Acquire eBay Before 2027?
Happens
9%
price $0.09
Does not happen
91%
price $0.91
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$5.43mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by 31 December 2026?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$5.37mResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Formula 1 Drivers' Championship?
Happens
74%
price $0.74
Does not happen
26%
price $0.26
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$5.31mResolution: 6 December 2026
Open on Predict.fun
0 pp
Who will win the 2026 college football Heisman Trophy?
Happens
13%
price $0.13
Does not happen
87%
price $0.87
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$4.87mResolution: 1 January 2027
Will Satoshi Nakamoto's Bitcoin move in 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$4.72mResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will Donald Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$4.32mResolution: 10 October 2026
Open on Polymarket
Which team will win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Happens
25%
price $0.25
Does not happen
75%
price $0.75
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$4.19mResolution: 1 November 2026
Open on Polymarket

Events

Will the Fed leave interest rates unchanged at its July 2026 meeting?

Will the United States launch a ground invasion of Iran before 2027?

Will China launch a military invasion of Taiwan before the end of 2026?

Who will win the 2026 World Series?

Will the United States take sovereignty over Greenland before 2027?

Who will be Israel's next prime minister after the 2026 election?

Will US tech layoffs be higher in 2026 than in 2025?

Will Bitcoin close 2026 above $100,000?

Will Iran's regime fall before 2027?

Will the WHO declare a hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal levels by 31 August 2026?

Will the Democrats win control of the US House in the 2026 midterms?

Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before 2027?

Will the SAVE Act become law before 4 January 2027?

Will the United States take control of any part of Greenland in 2026?

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary?

Will Ethereum be priced above $3,000 at the end of 2026?

Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least once in 2026?

Will MetaMask's token be worth more than $1 billion one day after launch?

Will Lula win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?

Will Base launch its own token by 31 December 2026?

Will Donald Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?

Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates in 2026?

Will United Russia gain the most seats of any party in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election?

Will the Clarity Act (H.R.3633) be signed into law in 2026?

Will the Federal Reserve leave interest rates unchanged after its September 2026 meeting?

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran's de facto head of state at the end of 2026?

Will OpenSea's token have a fully diluted valuation above $1 billion one day after launch?

Will GameStop Acquire eBay Before 2027?

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by 31 December 2026?

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Formula 1 Drivers' Championship?

Who will win the 2026 college football Heisman Trophy?

Will Satoshi Nakamoto's Bitcoin move in 2026?

Will Donald Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?

Which team will win the 2026 American League Championship Series?