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The probability of events, not the noise of opinion

Farexio aggregates prediction markets and shows the market consensus on real-world events: every venue trading a question, the full history of its implied probability, and โ€” once it settles โ€” what actually happened.

Events
76
Total volume
US$1.09bn
Price points
265,291
Most traded now

Will the Fed leave interest rates unchanged at its July 2026 meeting?

87%

market consensus

0 pp
Resolution: 29 July 2026

Closing today

Events

The questions that get their answer within the day. Biggest book first.

Moved most in 24 hours

All movements

Settling this week

Questions that get their answer within seven days.

Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.

Accuracy tracker

How well prediction markets have actually predicted, measured against resolved events.

Resolved events collected64 / 30
Methodology

Availability by country

Where you can register, and what you need to trade.

280countries and territories
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Venues

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
  • Predict.fun
  • Binance Wallet
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