Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market cap on 31 July 2026?
Happens
15%
price $0.15
Does not happen
85%
price $0.85
Farexio aggregates prediction markets and shows the market consensus on real-world events: every venue trading a question, the full history of its implied probability, and โ once it settles โ what actually happened.
market consensus
Happens
15%
price $0.15
Does not happen
85%
price $0.85
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Happens
93%
price $0.93
Does not happen
7%
price $0.07
Happens
15%
price $0.15
Does not happen
85%
price $0.85
Happens
11%
price $0.11
Does not happen
89%
price $0.89
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Happens
15%
price $0.15
Does not happen
85%
price $0.85
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Happens
13%
price $0.13
Does not happen
87%
price $0.87
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Happens
25%
price $0.25
Does not happen
75%
price $0.75
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Happens
31%
price $0.31
Does not happen
69%
price $0.69
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Happens
90%
price $0.90
Does not happen
10%
price $0.10
How well prediction markets have actually predicted, measured against resolved events.
Where you can register, and what you need to trade.