0 pp
Will the Fed leave interest rates unchanged at its July 2026 meeting?
Happens
87%
price $0.87
Does not happen
13%
price $0.13
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$64.48mResolution: 29 July 2026
Economy
- 0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve leave interest rates unchanged after its September 2026 meeting?
Happens
22%
price $0.22
Does not happen
78%
price $0.78
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$38.54mResolution: 16 September 2026 - 0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least once in 2026?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$10.78mResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates in 2026?
Happens
85%
price $0.85
Does not happen
15%
price $0.15
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$9.21mResolution: 9 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market cap on 31 July 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.60mResolution: 31 July 2026 Will the Fed's target interest rate be at or above four and a half percent at the end of 2026?
Happens
18%
price $0.18
Does not happen
82%
price $0.82
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.41mResolution: 9 December 2026- 0 pp
Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market cap at the end of 2026?
Happens
72%
price $0.72
Does not happen
28%
price $0.28
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.20mResolution: 31 December 2026 Will BP be acquired before 2027?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.06mResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Will SpaceX have the highest market cap of any company that IPOs in 2026?
Happens
52%
price $0.52
Does not happen
48%
price $0.48
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$881.6kResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market capitalization at the end of August 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$780.0kResolution: 31 August 2026 Will the Fed funds target upper bound end 2026 at three percent?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$498.6kResolution: 9 December 2026Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market capitalization on 30 September 2026?
Happens
90%
price $0.90
Does not happen
10%
price $0.10
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$412.7kResolution: 30 September 2026- 0 pp
Will the Fed Change Interest Rates at Its October 2026 Meeting?
Happens
62%
price $0.62
Does not happen
38%
price $0.38
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$305.9kResolution: 28 October 2026 - 0 pp
Will China's 2026 GDP growth land in the four-to-five percent band?
Happens
90%
price $0.90
Does not happen
10%
price $0.10
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$223.0kResolution: 31 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will China's official 2026 GDP growth land in the five-to-six percent bracket?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$80.9kResolution: 31 January 2027