0 pp
Will the Fed leave interest rates unchanged at its July 2026 meeting?
Happens
87%
price $0.87
Does not happen
13%
price $0.13
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$64.48mResolution: 29 July 2026
Economy
- +3.2 pp
Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least once in 2026?
Happens
15%
price $0.15
Does not happen
85%
price $0.85
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$8.72mResolution: 31 December 2026 - +2 pp
Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates in 2026?
Happens
66%
price $0.66
Does not happen
34%
price $0.34
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$6.04mResolution: 9 December 2026 - Hot+8.7 pp
Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market cap on 31 July 2026?
Happens
15%
price $0.15
Does not happen
85%
price $0.85
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.88mResolution: 31 July 2026 - 0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve leave interest rates unchanged after its September 2026 meeting?
Happens
45%
price $0.45
Does not happen
55%
price $0.55
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.75mResolution: 16 September 2026 - 0 pp
Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market cap at the end of 2026?
Happens
48%
price $0.48
Does not happen
52%
price $0.52
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$904.6kResolution: 31 December 2026 Will SpaceX have the highest market cap of any company that IPOs in 2026?
Happens
88%
price $0.88
Does not happen
12%
price $0.12
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$586.6kResolution: 31 December 2026