Events

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25 events

0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve leave interest rates unchanged after its September 2026 meeting?
Happens
21%
price $0.21
Does not happen
79%
price $0.79
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$38.76mResolution: 16 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Lula win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
Happens
48%
price $0.48
Does not happen
52%
price $0.52
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$10.94mResolution: 4 October 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will United Russia gain the most seats of any party in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election?
Happens
80%
price $0.80
Does not happen
20%
price $0.20
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$9.94mResolution: 30 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Alexander Zverev beat Karen Khachanov at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$4.16mResolution: 18 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Karen Khachanov beat Alexander Blockx at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
96%
price $0.96
Does not happen
4%
price $0.04
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.91mResolution: 16 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
Did Coco Gauff defeat Mirra Andreeva in their 2026 US Open match?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.36mResolution: 15 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will the US announce an end to its naval blockade of Iran by 30 September 2026?
Happens
12%
price $0.12
Does not happen
88%
price $0.88
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.17mResolution: 1 October 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal levels before 1 October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$3.00mResolution: 1 October 2026
Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal levels by 15 September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.51mResolution: 15 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will the Iranian regime fall by 30 September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.13mResolution: 1 October 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will China invade Taiwan by 30 September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.12mResolution: 1 October 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Ben Shelton beat Frances Tiafoe at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.95mResolution: 18 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will the Israel-Iran ceasefire hold through 30 September 2026?
Happens
93%
price $0.93
Does not happen
7%
price $0.07
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.93mResolution: 30 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Aryna Sabalenka beat Jessica Pegula at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.27mResolution: 17 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Elena Rybakina beat Coco Gauff at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
34%
price $0.34
Does not happen
66%
price $0.66
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.05mResolution: 18 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 30 September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$892.3kResolution: 30 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Russia capture the Kostyantynivka railroad station by 30 September 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$709.2kResolution: 30 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on the LMArena leaderboard at the end of September 2026?
Happens
96%
price $0.96
Does not happen
4%
price $0.04
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$702.6kResolution: 1 October 2026
Open on Polymarket
Hot
Will Coco Gauff beat Iva Jovic at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$602.6kResolution: 14 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Base launch its own token by 30 September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$510.7kResolution: 1 October 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 at any point in September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$468.8kResolution: 1 October 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September 2026?
Happens
36%
price $0.36
Does not happen
64%
price $0.64
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$464.8kResolution: 1 October 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market capitalization on 30 September 2026?
Happens
91%
price $0.91
Does not happen
9%
price $0.09
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$419.5kResolution: 30 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$322.0kResolution: 1 October 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Iran carry out a military strike on Ukraine by 30 September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$169.6kResolution: 30 September 2026
Open on Polymarket

Events

Will the Federal Reserve leave interest rates unchanged after its September 2026 meeting?

Will Lula win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

Will United Russia gain the most seats of any party in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election?

Will Alexander Zverev beat Karen Khachanov at the 2026 US Open?

Will Karen Khachanov beat Alexander Blockx at the 2026 US Open?

Did Coco Gauff defeat Mirra Andreeva in their 2026 US Open match?

Will the US announce an end to its naval blockade of Iran by 30 September 2026?

Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal levels before 1 October 2026?

Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal levels by 15 September 2026?

Will the Iranian regime fall by 30 September 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by 30 September 2026?

Will Ben Shelton beat Frances Tiafoe at the 2026 US Open?

Will the Israel-Iran ceasefire hold through 30 September 2026?

Will Aryna Sabalenka beat Jessica Pegula at the 2026 US Open?

Will Elena Rybakina beat Coco Gauff at the 2026 US Open?

Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 30 September 2026?

Will Russia capture the Kostyantynivka railroad station by 30 September 2026?

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on the LMArena leaderboard at the end of September 2026?

Will Coco Gauff beat Iva Jovic at the 2026 US Open?

Will Base launch its own token by 30 September 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 at any point in September 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September 2026?

Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market capitalization on 30 September 2026?

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September 2026?

Will Iran carry out a military strike on Ukraine by 30 September 2026?