Will Novak Djokovic beat Alex de Minaur at the 2026 China Open?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.03mResolution: 13 October 2026
Events
- 0 pp
Will Nicolás Maduro still be Venezuela's head of state at the end of 2026?
Happens
82%
price $0.82
Does not happen
18%
price $0.18
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.02mResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will SpaceX have the highest market cap of any company that IPOs in 2026?
Happens
69%
price $0.69
Does not happen
31%
price $0.31
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.02mResolution: 2 January 2027 Will Carlos Alcaraz beat Roman Safiullin at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.01mResolution: 6 September 2026Will the Fed change interest rates after its December 2026 meeting?
Happens
23%
price $0.23
Does not happen
77%
price $0.77
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.01mResolution: 9 December 2026Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$995.9kResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Will Paramount Complete a Takeover of Warner Bros. Before July 2027?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$976.6kResolution: 1 July 2027 - 0 pp
Will Grand Theft Auto VI be released before 1 January 2027?
Happens
97%
price $0.97
Does not happen
3%
price $0.03
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$971.1kResolution: 1 January 2027 Will Iga Swiatek beat Donna Vekic at the 2026 China Open?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$969.4kResolution: 12 October 2026Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal by 30 November 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$967.3kResolution: 1 December 2026Will Iga Świątek beat Elina Svitolina at the 2026 National Bank Open?
Happens
11%
price $0.11
Does not happen
89%
price $0.89
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$961.0kResolution: 19 August 2026Did Karen Khachanov defeat Felix Auger-Aliassime at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$956.7kResolution: 9 September 2026Will Bitcoin Reach $95,000 in September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$954.1kResolution: 1 October 2026- 0 pp
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Happens
23%
price $0.23
Does not happen
77%
price $0.77
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$942.9kResolution: 1 July 2027 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$935.2kResolution: 1 April 2027- 0 pp
Will Zohran Mamdani be named Time's Person of the Year for 2026?
Happens
28%
price $0.28
Does not happen
72%
price $0.72
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$917.4kResolution: 1 January 2027 Will Manchester City Win the 2026-27 Champions League?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$905.7kResolution: 20 June 2027Will Elena Rybakina beat Coco Gauff at the 2026 National Bank Open?
Happens
30%
price $0.30
Does not happen
70%
price $0.70
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$897.8kResolution: 20 August 2026Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election?
Happens
70%
price $0.70
Does not happen
30%
price $0.30
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$896.1kResolution: 4 November 2026Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 30 September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$892.3kResolution: 30 September 2026Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election?
Happens
74%
price $0.74
Does not happen
26%
price $0.26
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$887.6kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 at any point in August 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$881.3kResolution: 1 September 2026- 0 pp
Will the GTA 6 launch be postponed again?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$879.9kResolution: 19 November 2026 Did Qinwen Zheng defeat Madison Keys at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$874.8kResolution: 11 September 2026- 0 pp
Will Kawhi Leonard's next NBA team be the Toronto Raptors?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$873.8kResolution: 21 October 2026 - 0 pp
Will the US formally declare war on Iran by 31 December 2026?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$863.5kResolution: 31 December 2026 Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October 2026?
Happens
20%
price $0.20
Does not happen
80%
price $0.80
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$856.5kResolution: 1 November 2026Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 24 October 2026?
Happens
93%
price $0.93
Does not happen
7%
price $0.07
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$836.3kResolution: 25 October 2026Will OpenAI complete its IPO by 31 December 2026?
Happens
96%
price $0.96
Does not happen
4%
price $0.04
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$828.1kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$810.8kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Xi Jinping Visit the United States by 30 September 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$807.7kResolution: 30 September 2026Will Arthur Fils beat Flavio Cobolli at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$802.1kResolution: 29 August 2026Will Jack Draper beat Terence Atmane at the 2026 Canadian Open?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$794.0kResolution: 10 August 2026Did Alexander Zverev beat Cameron Norrie at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$789.3kResolution: 22 August 2026Will Jessica Pegula beat Leylah Fernandez at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
96%
price $0.96
Does not happen
4%
price $0.04
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$784.8kResolution: 11 September 2026Will Bitcoin fall to $70,000 or lower at any point in September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$783.3kResolution: 1 October 2026