+0.4 pp
Will Bitcoin close 2026 above $100,000?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$24.37mResolution: 1 January 2027
Crypto
- −0.5 pp
Will Ethereum be priced above $3,000 at the end of 2026?
Happens
20%
price $0.20
Does not happen
80%
price $0.80
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$9.72mResolution: 1 January 2027 - +0.2 pp
Will MetaMask's token be worth more than $1 billion one day after launch?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$8.90mResolution: 1 January 2027 - +0.1 pp
Will Base launch its own token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
11%
price $0.11
Does not happen
89%
price $0.89
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$7.42mResolution: 1 January 2027 - −2 pp
Will OpenSea's token have a fully diluted valuation above $1 billion one day after launch?
Happens
11%
price $0.11
Does not happen
89%
price $0.89
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$5.42mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by 31 December 2026?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$5.35mResolution: 1 January 2027 - +2 pp
Will the Clarity Act (H.R.3633) be signed into law in 2026?
Happens
26%
price $0.26
Does not happen
74%
price $0.74
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.37mResolution: 1 January 2027 - −0.2 pp
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 at any point in July 2026?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.86mResolution: 1 August 2026 - −0.1 pp
Will Ethereum fall to $1,500 or lower before the end of 2026?
Happens
43%
price $0.43
Does not happen
57%
price $0.57
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.95mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Polymarket launch an official platform token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
21%
price $0.21
Does not happen
79%
price $0.79
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$1.37mResolution: 1 July 2027 - −7.9 pp
Will OpenSea launch a token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
11%
price $0.11
Does not happen
89%
price $0.89
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$1.24mResolution: 1 January 2027 - −1.6 pp
Will Polymarket move its platform to a new blockchain in 2026?
Happens
43%
price $0.43
Does not happen
57%
price $0.57
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$734.1kResolution: 1 January 2027 - −1 pp
Will Ethereum's price reach $2,000 at any point in July 2026?
Happens
13%
price $0.13
Does not happen
87%
price $0.87
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$603.2kResolution: 1 August 2026