Will Iga Świątek beat Elina Svitolina at the 2026 National Bank Open?
Happens
11%
price $0.11
Does not happen
89%
price $0.89
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$961.0kResolution: 19 August 2026
Events
- 0 pp
Will Paramount Complete a Takeover of Warner Bros. Before July 2027?
Happens
19%
price $0.19
Does not happen
81%
price $0.81
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$920.2kResolution: 1 July 2027 - 0 pp
Will Donald Trump be Google's #1 most-searched person globally in 2026?
Happens
10%
price $0.10
Does not happen
90%
price $0.90
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$914.6kResolution: 31 December 2026 Will the US announce the end of its naval blockade on Iran by 31 December 2026?
Happens
73%
price $0.73
Does not happen
27%
price $0.27
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$908.9kResolution: 1 January 2027Will the International Court of Justice win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$905.4kResolution: 10 October 2026Will Elena Rybakina beat Coco Gauff at the 2026 National Bank Open?
Happens
30%
price $0.30
Does not happen
70%
price $0.70
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$897.8kResolution: 20 August 2026Will WTI crude oil hit $90 per barrel at any point in August 2026?
Happens
36%
price $0.36
Does not happen
64%
price $0.64
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$840.6kResolution: 1 September 2026- 0 pp
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Happens
65%
price $0.65
Does not happen
35%
price $0.35
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$833.4kResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will Nicolás Maduro still be Venezuela's head of state at the end of 2026?
Happens
81%
price $0.81
Does not happen
19%
price $0.19
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$827.8kResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement from the US Supreme Court by 31 December 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$816.5kResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will the US formally declare war on Iran by 31 December 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$802.2kResolution: 31 December 2026 Will Arthur Fils beat Flavio Cobolli at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$802.1kResolution: 29 August 2026Will Jack Draper beat Terence Atmane at the 2026 Canadian Open?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$794.0kResolution: 10 August 2026Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$792.9kResolution: 10 October 2026Did Alexander Zverev beat Cameron Norrie at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$789.3kResolution: 22 August 2026- 0 pp
Will SpaceX have the highest market cap of any company that IPOs in 2026?
Happens
64%
price $0.64
Does not happen
36%
price $0.36
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$784.3kResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will Apple release the iPhone 18 before 2027?
Happens
14%
price $0.14
Does not happen
86%
price $0.86
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$762.9kResolution: 1 January 2027 Will Xi Jinping visit the United States before 2027?
Happens
97%
price $0.97
Does not happen
3%
price $0.03
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$734.2kResolution: 31 December 2026- 0 pp
Will Grand Theft Auto VI be released before 1 January 2027?
Happens
88%
price $0.88
Does not happen
12%
price $0.12
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$728.5kResolution: 1 January 2027 Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Maine U.S. Senate race?
Happens
71%
price $0.71
Does not happen
29%
price $0.29
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$728.1kResolution: 3 November 2026- 0 pp
Will the GTA 6 launch be postponed again?
Happens
11%
price $0.11
Does not happen
89%
price $0.89
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$723.7kResolution: 19 November 2026 - 0 pp
Will Russia capture the Kostyantynivka railroad station by 30 September 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$709.2kResolution: 30 September 2026 Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 31 August 2026?
Happens
92%
price $0.92
Does not happen
8%
price $0.08
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$707.0kResolution: 31 August 2026Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$658.6kResolution: 31 December 2026- 0 pp
Will Kawhi Leonard's next NBA team be the Toronto Raptors?
Happens
87%
price $0.87
Does not happen
13%
price $0.13
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$639.7kResolution: 21 October 2026 - 0 pp
Will Israel and Iran sign a permanent peace deal by 31 July 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$625.6kResolution: 31 July 2026 Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
Happens
13%
price $0.13
Does not happen
87%
price $0.87
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$621.9kResolution: 31 December 2026- 0 pp
Will Donald Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$621.5kResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top-grossing film of 2026 at the US box office?
Happens
93%
price $0.93
Does not happen
7%
price $0.07
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$619.9kResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will the 2026 Super Bowl champion visit the White House before the end of 2026?
Happens
31%
price $0.31
Does not happen
69%
price $0.69
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$605.8kResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market capitalization at the end of August 2026?
Happens
98%
price $0.98
Does not happen
2%
price $0.02
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$598.2kResolution: 31 August 2026 Will Aryna Sabalenka beat Sara Bejlek at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$592.6kResolution: 27 August 2026Did the Toronto Blue Jays beat the New York Yankees on 22 August 2026?
Happens
77%
price $0.77
Does not happen
23%
price $0.23
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$590.3kResolution: 29 August 2026Will Count Binface finish second in the Clacton by-election?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$581.2kResolution: 13 August 2026Will 2026 be the hottest year on record globally?
Happens
71%
price $0.71
Does not happen
29%
price $0.29
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$579.0kResolution: 31 December 2026Will WTI Crude Oil Hit $110 a Barrel in August 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$573.2kResolution: 1 September 2026