Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by 31 October 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.62mResolution: 1 November 2026
Events
Will Jeffrey Epstein be confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.61mResolution: 31 December 2026Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California governor election?
Happens
97%
price $0.97
Does not happen
3%
price $0.03
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.61mResolution: 4 November 2026Will Novak Djokovic beat Thiago Agustin Tirante at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.60mResolution: 22 August 2026Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal levels by 15 September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.54mResolution: 15 September 2026Will the AI industry experience a bubble burst by the end of 2026?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.52mResolution: 1 January 2027Will Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed beat the hardcore Minecraft challenge by 17 August 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.43mResolution: 17 August 2026Will China invade Taiwan by 30 September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.43mResolution: 1 October 2026Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.42mResolution: 1 January 2027Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2026?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.39mResolution: 31 January 2027Will Friedrich Merz stop being Chancellor of Germany before the end of 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.37mResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka's railway station by the end of 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.28mResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$2.16mResolution: 1 January 2027 Did Carlos Alcaraz defeat Yibing Wu at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.15mResolution: 11 September 2026Will Iga Swiatek beat Diana Shnaider at the 2026 National Bank Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.14mResolution: 18 August 2026Will Tommy Paul beat Alexander Bublik at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.13mResolution: 11 September 2026Will Jessica Pegula beat Alexandra Eala at the 2026 Mubadala Citi DC Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.08mResolution: 9 August 2026Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 31 August 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.03mResolution: 31 August 2026Will Iran publicly agree to end all uranium enrichment by 31 December 2026?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.00mResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Will Reza Pahlavi become Iran's head of state or government in 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.98mResolution: 1 January 2027 Will Alexander Zverev beat Alexander Bublik at the Shanghai Rolex Masters?
Happens
78%
price $0.78
Does not happen
22%
price $0.22
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.97mResolution: 21 October 2026Will Ben Shelton beat Frances Tiafoe at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.95mResolution: 18 September 2026Will Chad Bianco win the 2026 California Governor election?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.95mResolution: 4 November 2026Will Jessica Pegula beat Amanda Anisimova at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.92mResolution: 28 August 2026- 0 pp
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Happens
56%
price $0.56
Does not happen
44%
price $0.44
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.91mResolution: 3 June 2026 Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFC Championship?
Happens
11%
price $0.11
Does not happen
89%
price $0.89
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.91mResolution: 25 January 2027Will Qinwen Zheng beat Iga Swiatek at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.90mResolution: 13 September 2026Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high by 31 December 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.86mResolution: 1 January 2027Will Merab Dvalishvili beat Petr Yan at UFC 333?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.84mResolution: 25 October 2026Will Cuba's Communist government fall in 2026?
Happens
10%
price $0.10
Does not happen
90%
price $0.90
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.83mResolution: 1 January 2027Will Mitch McConnell leave the Senate before his term ends?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.82mResolution: 4 January 2027Will Hamas officially agree to disarm in Gaza by 31 December 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.75mResolution: 1 January 2027Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before the end of 2026?
Happens
10%
price $0.10
Does not happen
90%
price $0.90
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.72mResolution: 1 January 2027Will the Fed change interest rates after its December 2026 meeting?
Happens
20%
price $0.20
Does not happen
80%
price $0.80
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.69mResolution: 9 December 2026Will the Democratic Party win the 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate race?
Happens
71%
price $0.71
Does not happen
29%
price $0.29
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.68mResolution: 4 November 2026- 0 pp
Will the US buy at least part of Greenland before 2027?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.68mResolution: 1 January 2027