Events

Filters

27 events / 99

0 pp
Will Texas win the College Football Playoff National Championship for the 2026 season?
Happens
12%
price $0.12
Does not happen
88%
price $0.88
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$828.3kResolution: 23 February 2027
Open Kalshi site
−7 pp
Will Iran impose a full closure of its national airspace by 31 August 2026?
Happens
36%
price $0.36
Does not happen
64%
price $0.64
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$814.1kResolution: 31 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
−0.5 pp
Will Nicolás Maduro still be Venezuela's head of state at the end of 2026?
Happens
81%
price $0.81
Does not happen
19%
price $0.19
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$781.6kResolution: 31 December 2026
Open Kalshi site
−5 pp
Will comprehensive crypto market structure legislation become law in the US before 2027?
Happens
33%
price $0.33
Does not happen
67%
price $0.67
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$767.1kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open Kalshi site
−1.6 pp
Will Polymarket move its platform to a new blockchain in 2026?
Happens
43%
price $0.43
Does not happen
57%
price $0.57
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$734.1kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Predict.fun
0 pp
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Happens
63%
price $0.63
Does not happen
37%
price $0.37
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$709.0kResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
−2 pp
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement from the US Supreme Court by 31 December 2026?
Happens
12%
price $0.12
Does not happen
88%
price $0.88
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$690.8kResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
+10 pp
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary?
Happens
95%
price $0.95
Does not happen
5%
price $0.05
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$655.6kResolution: 4 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
−5 pp
Will Ethereum's price reach $2,000 at any point in July 2026?
Happens
11%
price $0.11
Does not happen
89%
price $0.89
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$603.2kResolution: 1 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will SpaceX have the highest market cap of any company that IPOs in 2026?
Happens
90%
price $0.90
Does not happen
10%
price $0.10
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$586.6kResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
+0.5 pp
Will Apple release the iPhone 18 before 2027?
Happens
21%
price $0.21
Does not happen
79%
price $0.79
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$512.5kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open Kalshi site
0 pp
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 Premier League title?
Happens
30%
price $0.30
Does not happen
70%
price $0.70
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$497.6kResolution: 30 May 2027
Open on Polymarket
Hot−0.3 pp
Will 30 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz in a single day before 31 July 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$494.4kResolution: 31 July 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Hyperliquid (HYPE) reach $100 by 31 December 2026?
Happens
21%
price $0.21
Does not happen
79%
price $0.79
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$491.6kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
+3 pp
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top-grossing film of 2026 at the US box office?
Happens
86%
price $0.86
Does not happen
14%
price $0.14
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$480.5kResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
+1 pp
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
Happens
18%
price $0.18
Does not happen
82%
price $0.82
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$457.1kResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Did XRP's price reach $3.00 at any point in July 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$421.4kResolution: 1 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
−0.5 pp
Will Iran formally announce its withdrawal from nuclear negotiations with the United States by 15 August 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$413.2kResolution: 15 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Happens
22%
price $0.22
Does not happen
78%
price $0.78
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$366.7kResolution: 1 July 2027
Open on Binance Wallet
+4 pp
Will the US and Iran hold another formal diplomatic meeting by 31 August 2026?
Happens
36%
price $0.36
Does not happen
64%
price $0.64
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$361.3kResolution: 31 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
−1 pp
Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother Season 28?
Happens
19%
price $0.19
Does not happen
81%
price $0.81
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$210.4kResolution: 7 January 2027
Open Kalshi site
+0.5 pp
Will Anthropic release a model called "Mythos" before January 1, 2027?
Happens
18%
price $0.18
Does not happen
82%
price $0.82
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$201.6kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open Kalshi site
+0.5 pp
Will Mojtaba Khamenei Be Seen in Public by the End of 2026?
Happens
23%
price $0.23
Does not happen
77%
price $0.77
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$169.5kResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
−2 pp
Will Israel withdraw all its ground forces from Lebanon by 31 December 2026?
Happens
11%
price $0.11
Does not happen
89%
price $0.89
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$137.4kResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
+1 pp
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?
Happens
54%
price $0.54
Does not happen
46%
price $0.46
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$121.4kResolution: 13 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
−1 pp
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's US Open?
Happens
30%
price $0.30
Does not happen
70%
price $0.70
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$43.5kResolution: 13 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Which club will win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$30.9kResolution: 30 May 2027
Open on Polymarket

Events

Will Texas win the College Football Playoff National Championship for the 2026 season?

Will Iran impose a full closure of its national airspace by 31 August 2026?

Will Nicolás Maduro still be Venezuela's head of state at the end of 2026?

Will comprehensive crypto market structure legislation become law in the US before 2027?

Will Polymarket move its platform to a new blockchain in 2026?

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement from the US Supreme Court by 31 December 2026?

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary?

Will Ethereum's price reach $2,000 at any point in July 2026?

Will SpaceX have the highest market cap of any company that IPOs in 2026?

Will Apple release the iPhone 18 before 2027?

Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 Premier League title?

Will 30 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz in a single day before 31 July 2026?

Will Hyperliquid (HYPE) reach $100 by 31 December 2026?

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top-grossing film of 2026 at the US box office?

Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Did XRP's price reach $3.00 at any point in July 2026?

Will Iran formally announce its withdrawal from nuclear negotiations with the United States by 15 August 2026?

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Will the US and Iran hold another formal diplomatic meeting by 31 August 2026?

Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother Season 28?

Will Anthropic release a model called "Mythos" before January 1, 2027?

Will Mojtaba Khamenei Be Seen in Public by the End of 2026?

Will Israel withdraw all its ground forces from Lebanon by 31 December 2026?

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's US Open?

Which club will win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?