Will Denis Shapovalov beat Luca Van Assche at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$438.4kResolution: 9 September 2026
Events
Will Carlos Alcaraz beat Alex de Minaur at the 2026 Laver Cup?
Happens
51%
price $0.51
Does not happen
49%
price $0.49
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$437.3kResolution: 4 October 2026Will Coco Gauff beat Cristina Bucsa at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$436.4kResolution: 12 September 2026Will Zoom Video Communications Be Acquired Before 2027?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$433.1kResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Did XRP's price reach $3.00 at any point in July 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$422.4kResolution: 1 August 2026 - 0 pp
Will Russia capture the Kostyantynivka railroad station by 31 August 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$417.5kResolution: 31 August 2026 Did Aryna Sabalenka defeat Xinyu Wang at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$414.5kResolution: 25 August 2026Will Julian Alvarez leave Atletico Madrid before 1 September 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$411.6kResolution: 2 September 2026Will Strait of Hormuz shipping traffic return to normal levels in 2026?
Happens
88%
price $0.88
Does not happen
12%
price $0.12
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$411.4kResolution: 1 February 2027Will Ethereum's price dip to $2,100 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$396.5kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Iran close its entire airspace by 31 October 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$389.9kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Stefanos Tsitsipas beat Taylor Fritz at the 2026 Shanghai Rolex Masters?
Happens
97%
price $0.97
Does not happen
3%
price $0.03
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$385.3kResolution: 19 October 2026Will Xi Jinping Visit the United States by 24 September 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$385.3kResolution: 24 September 2026Will LeBron James retire before the 2026-2027 NBA season starts?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$371.4kResolution: 22 October 2026Did XRP reach $4.00 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$366.2kResolution: 1 November 2026Did Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$361.4kResolution: 13 September 2026Will the U.S. have at least 12,500 measles cases in 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$359.7kResolution: 1 January 2027Will the US and Iran hold another senior-level diplomatic meeting by 31 October 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$356.7kResolution: 31 October 2026Will the Republican candidate win the 2026 Florida governor race?
Happens
72%
price $0.72
Does not happen
28%
price $0.28
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$352.4kResolution: 4 November 2026Will MicroStrategy (Strategy) announce holding 1 million or more Bitcoin by 31 December 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$346.3kResolution: 1 January 2027Will the US carry out a military strike on Iran before 31 October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$343.0kResolution: 31 October 2026Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Happens
9%
price $0.09
Does not happen
91%
price $0.91
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$342.9kResolution: 1 January 2027Will the US report at least 5,000 measles cases in 2026?
Happens
97%
price $0.97
Does not happen
3%
price $0.03
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$340.0kResolution: 1 January 2027Will MetaMask launch its own token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$337.1kResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Will the US Announce a Halt to Its Military Operations Against Iran by 15 August 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$336.1kResolution: 15 August 2026 Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$334.5kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Nvidia be the world's largest company by market cap on 31 October 2026?
Happens
79%
price $0.79
Does not happen
21%
price $0.21
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$332.3kResolution: 1 November 2026Did Aryna Sabalenka defeat Kamilla Rakhimova at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$332.1kResolution: 11 September 2026Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$306.4kResolution: 13 September 2026Will a NATO member invoke Article 5 before 2027?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$301.9kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Happens
28%
price $0.28
Does not happen
72%
price $0.72
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$301.0kResolution: 31 December 2026Will India beat Sri Lanka in the Women's T20 Asia Cup 2026 match?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$300.4kResolution: 20 September 2026- 0 pp
Will the US and China reach an official tariff agreement by 31 December 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$298.0kResolution: 1 January 2027 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by 31 December 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$295.4kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Missouri enact a statewide data center moratorium by 31 December 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$293.6kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by 31 December 2026?
Happens
22%
price $0.22
Does not happen
78%
price $0.78
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$293.1kResolution: 1 January 2027