0 pp
Will Zohran Mamdani be named Time's Person of the Year for 2026?
Happens
28%
price $0.28
Does not happen
72%
price $0.72
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$917.5kResolution: 1 January 2027
Events
Will Manchester City Win the 2026-27 Champions League?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$906.3kResolution: 20 June 2027Will Elena Rybakina beat Coco Gauff at the 2026 National Bank Open?
Happens
30%
price $0.30
Does not happen
70%
price $0.70
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$897.8kResolution: 20 August 2026Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election?
Happens
70%
price $0.70
Does not happen
30%
price $0.30
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$896.3kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election?
Happens
75%
price $0.75
Does not happen
25%
price $0.25
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$892.7kResolution: 4 November 2026Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 30 September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$892.3kResolution: 30 September 2026Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 at any point in August 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$881.3kResolution: 1 September 2026- 0 pp
Will the GTA 6 launch be postponed again?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$880.0kResolution: 19 November 2026 Did Qinwen Zheng defeat Madison Keys at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$874.8kResolution: 11 September 2026- 0 pp
Will Kawhi Leonard's next NBA team be the Toronto Raptors?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$873.8kResolution: 21 October 2026 - 0 pp
Will the US formally declare war on Iran by 31 December 2026?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$863.5kResolution: 31 December 2026 Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October 2026?
Happens
19%
price $0.19
Does not happen
81%
price $0.81
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$858.8kResolution: 1 November 2026- 0 pp
Will Iran invade Kuwait by 31 August 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$847.8kActual outcome: No Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 24 October 2026?
Happens
93%
price $0.93
Does not happen
7%
price $0.07
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$845.5kResolution: 25 October 2026Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$837.7kActual outcome: YesWill OpenAI complete its IPO by 31 December 2026?
Happens
96%
price $0.96
Does not happen
4%
price $0.04
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$828.1kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$810.8kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Xi Jinping Visit the United States by 30 September 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$807.7kResolution: 30 September 2026Will Arthur Fils beat Flavio Cobolli at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$802.1kResolution: 29 August 2026- 0 pp
Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother Season 28?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$801.1kActual outcome: No Will another official GTA VI trailer be released by 31 August 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$798.7kActual outcome: NoWill Jack Draper beat Terence Atmane at the 2026 Canadian Open?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$794.0kResolution: 10 August 2026Did Alexander Zverev beat Cameron Norrie at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$789.3kResolution: 22 August 2026Will Jessica Pegula beat Leylah Fernandez at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
96%
price $0.96
Does not happen
4%
price $0.04
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$784.8kResolution: 11 September 2026Will Bitcoin fall to $70,000 or lower at any point in September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$783.3kResolution: 1 October 2026- 0 pp
Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market capitalization at the end of August 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$780.0kResolution: 31 August 2026 Will Bitcoin fall to $80,000 or below at any point in September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$776.6kResolution: 1 October 2026Will Miguel Díaz-Canel cease to be president of Cuba by 31 December 2026?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$758.1kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$750.8kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Alexander Zverev beat Alejandro Tabilo at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
94%
price $0.94
Does not happen
6%
price $0.06
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$744.8kResolution: 12 September 2026Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$738.6kActual outcome: YesWill the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 25 September 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$734.2kActual outcome: YesWill 2026 be the hottest year on record globally?
Happens
84%
price $0.84
Does not happen
16%
price $0.16
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$732.3kResolution: 2 March 2027- 0 pp
Will Hyperliquid (HYPE) reach $100 by 31 December 2026?
Happens
37%
price $0.37
Does not happen
63%
price $0.63
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$729.6kActual outcome: Yes - 0 pp
Will Ethereum's price reach $2,000 at any point in July 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$724.4kActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top-grossing film of 2026 at the US box office?
Happens
93%
price $0.93
Does not happen
7%
price $0.07
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$718.0kResolution: 8 January 2027