Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$825.7kResolution: 1 January 2027
Events
Will Xi Jinping Visit the United States by 30 September 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$807.7kResolution: 30 September 2026Will Arthur Fils beat Flavio Cobolli at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$802.1kResolution: 29 August 2026Will Bitcoin fall to $62,500 or lower at any point in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$797.6kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Jack Draper beat Terence Atmane at the 2026 Canadian Open?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$794.0kResolution: 10 August 2026Will Republicans win the 2026 Kansas U.S. Senate race?
Happens
56%
price $0.56
Does not happen
44%
price $0.44
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$791.9kResolution: 4 November 2026Did Alexander Zverev beat Cameron Norrie at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$789.3kResolution: 22 August 2026Will Jessica Pegula beat Leylah Fernandez at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
96%
price $0.96
Does not happen
4%
price $0.04
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$784.8kResolution: 11 September 2026Will Bitcoin fall to $70,000 or lower at any point in September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$783.3kResolution: 1 October 2026Will Miguel Díaz-Canel cease to be president of Cuba by 31 December 2026?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$782.1kResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market capitalization at the end of August 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$780.0kResolution: 31 August 2026 Will Bitcoin fall to $80,000 or below at any point in September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$776.6kResolution: 1 October 2026Will Bitcoin fall to $65,000 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$763.1kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Kim Jong Un Stop Being North Korea's Supreme Leader by the End of 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$750.8kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$750.8kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Alexander Zverev beat Alejandro Tabilo at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
94%
price $0.94
Does not happen
6%
price $0.06
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$744.8kResolution: 12 September 2026Will the Democratic Party win the 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate race?
Happens
28%
price $0.28
Does not happen
72%
price $0.72
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$742.0kResolution: 4 November 2026Will 2026 be the hottest year on record globally?
Happens
90%
price $0.90
Does not happen
10%
price $0.10
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$741.5kResolution: 2 March 2027- 0 pp
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LaLiga Championship?
Happens
22%
price $0.22
Does not happen
78%
price $0.78
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$739.8kResolution: 15 June 2027 - 0 pp
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top-grossing film of 2026 at the US box office?
Happens
94%
price $0.94
Does not happen
6%
price $0.06
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$738.6kResolution: 8 January 2027 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October 2026?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$733.2kResolution: 1 November 2026Will the US-Yemen ceasefire hold through 31 October 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$726.7kResolution: 31 October 2026Will Lindsay Clancy be convicted of murder by 31 December 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$724.1kResolution: 1 January 2027Will the Israel-Iran ceasefire hold through 30 November 2026?
Happens
54%
price $0.54
Does not happen
46%
price $0.46
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$711.8kResolution: 30 November 2026- 0 pp
Will Russia capture the Kostyantynivka railroad station by 30 September 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$709.2kResolution: 30 September 2026 - 0 pp
Which club will win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
Happens
25%
price $0.25
Does not happen
75%
price $0.75
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$707.6kResolution: 5 June 2027 Will Bitcoin fall to $75,000 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$707.5kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Anthropic complete an IPO before 2027?
Happens
96%
price $0.96
Does not happen
4%
price $0.04
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$705.0kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Novak Djokovic beat Ugo Humbert at the Swiss Indoors Basel 2026?
Happens
80%
price $0.80
Does not happen
20%
price $0.20
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$698.5kResolution: 3 November 2026Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market capitalization on 30 September 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$688.7kResolution: 1 October 2026Will Aryna Sabalenka defeat Taylor Townsend at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
76%
price $0.76
Does not happen
24%
price $0.24
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$687.1kResolution: 13 September 2026Will Bitcoin Reach $92,500 at Any Point in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$680.0kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$679.5kResolution: 27 October 2026Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$677.3kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$675.9kResolution: 13 November 2026- 0 pp
Will the 2026 Super Bowl champion visit the White House before the end of 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$669.2kResolution: 31 December 2026