Will the WHO declare a new pandemic in 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.27mResolution: 1 January 2027
Events
Will Novak Djokovic beat Nuno Borges at the 2026 China Open?
Happens
24%
price $0.24
Does not happen
76%
price $0.76
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.23mResolution: 7 October 2026Will Belinda Bencic beat Alexandra Eala at the 2026 National Bank Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.21mResolution: 16 August 2026Will the International Court of Justice win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.21mResolution: 1 April 2027Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.21mResolution: 1 January 2027Will the US Conduct a Military Strike on Colombian Territory by 31 December 2026?
Happens
21%
price $0.21
Does not happen
79%
price $0.79
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.20mResolution: 1 January 2027Will Francisco Cerundolo defeat Taylor Fritz at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.19mResolution: 11 September 2026- 0 pp
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Happens
17%
price $0.17
Does not happen
83%
price $0.83
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.16mResolution: 1 July 2027 Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election?
Happens
69%
price $0.69
Does not happen
31%
price $0.31
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.15mResolution: 4 November 2026Will Arthur Fils beat Frances Tiafoe at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
93%
price $0.93
Does not happen
7%
price $0.07
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.14mResolution: 30 August 2026Will Xi Jinping visit the United States before 2027?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.13mResolution: 31 December 2026Will Coco Gauff beat Jessica Pegula at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.13mResolution: 30 August 2026Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election?
Happens
70%
price $0.70
Does not happen
30%
price $0.30
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.13mResolution: 4 November 2026Will Kanye West perform live in Russia by 31 October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.10mResolution: 1 November 2026Did Hubert Hurkacz defeat Novak Djokovic at the 2026 Shanghai Rolex Masters?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.09mResolution: 16 October 2026Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal by 30 November 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.08mResolution: 1 December 2026Will Brandon Nakashima beat Frances Tiafoe at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.08mResolution: 29 August 2026- 0 pp
Will SpaceX have the highest market cap of any company that IPOs in 2026?
Happens
52%
price $0.52
Does not happen
48%
price $0.48
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.07mResolution: 2 January 2027 Will Arnold Allen be officially announced as Alexander Volkanovski's next UFC opponent?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.07mResolution: 1 January 2027Will BP be acquired before 2027?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.07mResolution: 1 January 2027Will the 2026 US midterm elections take place as scheduled on 3 November 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.06mResolution: 1 January 2027Will Elena Rybakina beat Coco Gauff at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
34%
price $0.34
Does not happen
66%
price $0.66
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.05mResolution: 18 September 2026Will Anthropic have the best AI model on the LMArena leaderboard at the end of October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.05mResolution: 31 October 2026Did Tommy Paul defeat Alexander Zverev at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.05mResolution: 26 August 2026Will Bitcoin fall to $77,500 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
16%
price $0.16
Does not happen
84%
price $0.84
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.04mResolution: 1 November 2026Will Anthropic have the best AI model on the LMArena leaderboard at the end of September 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.03mResolution: 30 September 2026Will Novak Djokovic beat Alex de Minaur at the 2026 China Open?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.03mResolution: 13 October 2026Will Carlos Alcaraz beat Roman Safiullin at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.01mResolution: 6 September 2026Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$996.2kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$982.2kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Iga Swiatek beat Donna Vekic at the 2026 China Open?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$969.4kResolution: 12 October 2026Will Iga Świątek beat Elina Svitolina at the 2026 National Bank Open?
Happens
11%
price $0.11
Does not happen
89%
price $0.89
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$961.0kResolution: 19 August 2026Did Karen Khachanov defeat Felix Auger-Aliassime at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$956.7kResolution: 9 September 2026Will Bitcoin Reach $95,000 in September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$954.1kResolution: 1 October 2026Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$935.2kResolution: 1 April 2027Will Manchester City Win the 2026-27 Champions League?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$915.9kResolution: 20 June 2027