Will the US and Iran hold a formal diplomatic meeting by 31 December 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$468.3kResolution: 31 December 2026
Events
Will a Democrat win the 2026 Wisconsin governor race?
Happens
87%
price $0.87
Does not happen
13%
price $0.13
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$465.8kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize diplomatic relations before 2027?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$457.1kResolution: 31 December 2026Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Happens
52%
price $0.52
Does not happen
48%
price $0.48
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$456.3kResolution: 31 December 2026Will Bad Bunny be Spotify's top artist for 2026?
Happens
89%
price $0.89
Does not happen
11%
price $0.11
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$451.9kResolution: 1 February 2027Will Russia capture Sumy's railroad station by 31 March 2027?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$449.4kResolution: 1 April 2027Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win the League of Legends World Championship 2026?
Happens
80%
price $0.80
Does not happen
20%
price $0.20
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$448.0kResolution: 1 January 2027Will the Israel-Iran ceasefire hold through 15 November 2026?
Happens
64%
price $0.64
Does not happen
36%
price $0.36
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$447.0kResolution: 16 November 2026Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$441.3kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Zoom Video Communications Be Acquired Before 2027?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$433.1kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Strait of Hormuz shipping traffic return to normal levels in 2026?
Happens
88%
price $0.88
Does not happen
12%
price $0.12
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$411.4kResolution: 1 February 2027Will Iran close its entire airspace by 31 October 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$389.9kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Ethereum's price dip to $2,100 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$385.9kResolution: 1 November 2026Did XRP reach $4.00 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$366.2kResolution: 1 November 2026Will the U.S. have at least 12,500 measles cases in 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$359.7kResolution: 1 January 2027Will the US and Iran hold another senior-level diplomatic meeting by 31 October 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$356.7kResolution: 31 October 2026Will the Republican candidate win the 2026 Florida governor race?
Happens
72%
price $0.72
Does not happen
28%
price $0.28
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$352.4kResolution: 4 November 2026Will MicroStrategy (Strategy) announce holding 1 million or more Bitcoin by 31 December 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$346.3kResolution: 1 January 2027Will the US carry out a military strike on Iran before 31 October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$343.0kResolution: 31 October 2026Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Happens
9%
price $0.09
Does not happen
91%
price $0.91
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$342.9kResolution: 1 January 2027Will the US report at least 5,000 measles cases in 2026?
Happens
97%
price $0.97
Does not happen
3%
price $0.03
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$340.0kResolution: 1 January 2027Will MetaMask launch its own token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$337.1kResolution: 1 January 2027Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$334.5kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Nvidia be the world's largest company by market cap on 31 October 2026?
Happens
79%
price $0.79
Does not happen
21%
price $0.21
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$329.9kResolution: 1 November 2026Will a NATO member invoke Article 5 before 2027?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$301.9kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Happens
28%
price $0.28
Does not happen
72%
price $0.72
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$301.0kResolution: 31 December 2026- 0 pp
Will the US and China reach an official tariff agreement by 31 December 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$298.0kResolution: 1 January 2027 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by 31 December 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$295.4kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Missouri enact a statewide data center moratorium by 31 December 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$293.6kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by 31 December 2026?
Happens
21%
price $0.21
Does not happen
79%
price $0.79
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$293.1kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Predict.fun launch a token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$289.8kResolution: 1 January 2027Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Minnesota U.S. Senate race?
Happens
92%
price $0.92
Does not happen
8%
price $0.08
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$285.3kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Happens
46%
price $0.46
Does not happen
54%
price $0.54
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$283.9kResolution: 25 October 2027Will Republicans win the Mississippi U.S. Senate race in 2026?
Happens
87%
price $0.87
Does not happen
13%
price $0.13
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$268.9kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Trump Announce a New White House Press Secretary by the End of 2026?
Happens
66%
price $0.66
Does not happen
34%
price $0.34
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$267.7kResolution: 1 January 2027Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East division title?
Happens
45%
price $0.45
Does not happen
55%
price $0.55
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$265.5kResolution: 4 January 2027