Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Ohio governor race?
Happens
82%
price $0.82
Does not happen
18%
price $0.18
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$558.1kResolution: 4 November 2026
Events
Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Nevada governor election?
Happens
80%
price $0.80
Does not happen
20%
price $0.20
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$554.5kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Republicans win the 2026 Iowa U.S. Senate race?
Happens
55%
price $0.55
Does not happen
45%
price $0.45
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$552.4kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Pedro Sánchez cease to be Prime Minister of Spain by 31 December 2026?
Happens
18%
price $0.18
Does not happen
82%
price $0.82
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$518.4kResolution: 1 January 2027Will a Democrat win the 2026 Wisconsin governor race?
Happens
87%
price $0.87
Does not happen
13%
price $0.13
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$465.7kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Alberta vote for independence from Canada in 2026?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$454.5kResolution: 20 October 2026Will the Republican candidate win the 2026 Florida governor race?
Happens
72%
price $0.72
Does not happen
28%
price $0.28
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$352.4kResolution: 4 November 2026- 0 pp
Will the US government take a stake in Spirit Airlines in 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$311.0kResolution: 1 January 2027 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Happens
28%
price $0.28
Does not happen
72%
price $0.72
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$301.0kResolution: 31 December 2026Will Missouri enact a statewide data center moratorium by 31 December 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$293.6kResolution: 1 January 2027Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Minnesota U.S. Senate race?
Happens
92%
price $0.92
Does not happen
8%
price $0.08
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$285.3kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Happens
46%
price $0.46
Does not happen
54%
price $0.54
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$283.9kResolution: 25 October 2027Will the Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec election?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$272.4kResolution: 6 October 2026Will Republicans win the Mississippi U.S. Senate race in 2026?
Happens
87%
price $0.87
Does not happen
13%
price $0.13
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$268.9kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Trump Announce a New White House Press Secretary by the End of 2026?
Happens
66%
price $0.66
Does not happen
34%
price $0.34
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$267.7kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Oklahoma enact a statewide data center moratorium by 30 June 2027?
Happens
19%
price $0.19
Does not happen
81%
price $0.81
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$249.2kResolution: 1 July 2027Will the Democratic Party win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
Happens
92%
price $0.92
Does not happen
8%
price $0.08
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$227.7kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Ohio enact a statewide data center moratorium by the end of 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$212.4kResolution: 1 January 2027Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Michigan governor race?
Happens
94%
price $0.94
Does not happen
6%
price $0.06
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$211.4kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$174.1kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Scott Jennings Be Named the Next White House Press Secretary?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$153.6kResolution: 31 December 2026Will Christine Fréchette become Premier of Quebec after the 2026 election?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$91.7kResolution: 6 October 2026Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for US President before the end of 2026?
Happens
12%
price $0.12
Does not happen
88%
price $0.88
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$90.9kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Pedro Sánchez be the next of this group of world leaders to leave office before 2027?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$73.2kResolution: 1 January 2027