0 pp
Will Ethereum's price reach $2,000 at any point in July 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$724.4kActual outcome: No
Events
- 0 pp
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top-grossing film of 2026 at the US box office?
Happens
93%
price $0.93
Does not happen
7%
price $0.07
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$718.0kResolution: 8 January 2027 Will Lindsay Clancy be convicted of murder by 31 December 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$716.1kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Likud win the most seats in Israel's 2026 election?
Happens
31%
price $0.31
Does not happen
69%
price $0.69
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$711.6kResolution: 28 October 2026Will Anthropic have the best AI model on the LMArena leaderboard at the end of October 2026?
Happens
13%
price $0.13
Does not happen
87%
price $0.87
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$711.2kResolution: 31 October 2026- 0 pp
Will Russia capture the Kostyantynivka railroad station by 30 September 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$709.2kResolution: 30 September 2026 Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 31 December 2026?
Happens
28%
price $0.28
Does not happen
72%
price $0.72
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$707.1kResolution: 31 December 2026Will the 2026 US midterm elections take place as scheduled on 3 November 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$703.5kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Kylian Mbappé finish higher than Lamine Yamal in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Happens
76%
price $0.76
Does not happen
24%
price $0.24
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$700.5kResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Which club will win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
Happens
26%
price $0.26
Does not happen
74%
price $0.74
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$695.1kResolution: 5 June 2027 Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market capitalization on 30 September 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$688.7kResolution: 1 October 2026Will Aryna Sabalenka defeat Taylor Townsend at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
76%
price $0.76
Does not happen
24%
price $0.24
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$687.1kResolution: 13 September 2026Will Anthropic complete an IPO before 2027?
Happens
85%
price $0.85
Does not happen
15%
price $0.15
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$677.9kResolution: 1 January 2027Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding to Georgina Rodríguez?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$677.3kActual outcome: NoWill OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$676.6kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Pete Hegseth leave the role of US Secretary of Defense by 31 December 2026?
Happens
21%
price $0.21
Does not happen
79%
price $0.79
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$676.1kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Happens
98%
price $0.98
Does not happen
2%
price $0.02
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$675.6kResolution: 13 November 2026Will Republicans win the 2026 Kansas U.S. Senate race?
Happens
62%
price $0.62
Does not happen
38%
price $0.38
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$667.6kResolution: 4 November 2026- 0 pp
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LaLiga Championship?
Happens
14%
price $0.14
Does not happen
86%
price $0.86
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$665.2kResolution: 15 June 2027 Will WTI Crude Oil Hit $110 a Barrel in August 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$664.3kActual outcome: NoWill Team Vision Win The International 2026 Dota 2 Championship?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$664.0kActual outcome: NoWill Xi Jinping visit the United States by 23 September 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$658.9kResolution: 23 September 2026Will the US-Iran ceasefire continue through 18 October 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$656.6kActual outcome: YesWill Bitcoin fall to $57,500 in September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$647.7kResolution: 1 October 2026Will Google Release Gemini 4.0 by 30 September 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$644.2kActual outcome: NoWill the Israel-Iran ceasefire hold through 30 November 2026?
Happens
52%
price $0.52
Does not happen
48%
price $0.48
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$643.4kResolution: 30 November 2026Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$643.4kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Saudi Arabia's East-West oil pipeline resume operations by 31 October 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$643.2kActual outcome: NoWill Emma Navarro beat Lois Boisson at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
87%
price $0.87
Does not happen
13%
price $0.13
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$637.4kResolution: 6 September 2026Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$634.8kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Ethereum reach a new all-time high price by 31 December 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$631.5kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$629.4kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Russia invade another country besides Ukraine in 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$626.8kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Bitcoin fall to $62,500 or lower at any point in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$626.1kResolution: 1 November 2026- 0 pp
Will Israel and Iran sign a permanent peace deal by 31 July 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$625.6kResolution: 31 July 2026 Will Alex Michelsen defeat Brandon Nakashima at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$625.4kResolution: 9 September 2026