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36 events / 393

Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal by 30 November 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.08mResolution: 1 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Brandon Nakashima beat Frances Tiafoe at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.08mResolution: 29 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will SpaceX have the highest market cap of any company that IPOs in 2026?
Happens
54%
price $0.54
Does not happen
46%
price $0.46
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.07mResolution: 2 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will Arnold Allen be officially announced as Alexander Volkanovski's next UFC opponent?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.07mResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will BP be acquired before 2027?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.07mResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.06mResolution: 1 January 2027
Will the 2026 US midterm elections take place as scheduled on 3 November 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.06mResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin fall to $77,500 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
16%
price $0.16
Does not happen
84%
price $0.84
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.05mResolution: 1 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on the LMArena leaderboard at the end of October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.05mResolution: 31 October 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Elena Rybakina beat Coco Gauff at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
34%
price $0.34
Does not happen
66%
price $0.66
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.05mResolution: 18 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
Did Tommy Paul defeat Alexander Zverev at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.05mResolution: 26 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on the LMArena leaderboard at the end of September 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.03mResolution: 30 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Novak Djokovic beat Alex de Minaur at the 2026 China Open?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.03mResolution: 13 October 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Grand Theft Auto VI be released before 1 January 2027?
Happens
97%
price $0.97
Does not happen
3%
price $0.03
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.02mResolution: 1 January 2027
Will Carlos Alcaraz beat Roman Safiullin at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.01mResolution: 6 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$996.2kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$991.5kResolution: 1 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Paramount Complete a Takeover of Warner Bros. Before July 2027?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$976.6kResolution: 1 July 2027
Will Iga Swiatek beat Donna Vekic at the 2026 China Open?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$969.4kResolution: 12 October 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Iga Świątek beat Elina Svitolina at the 2026 National Bank Open?
Happens
11%
price $0.11
Does not happen
89%
price $0.89
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$961.0kResolution: 19 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
Did Karen Khachanov defeat Felix Auger-Aliassime at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$956.7kResolution: 9 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin Reach $95,000 in September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$954.1kResolution: 1 October 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$935.2kResolution: 1 April 2027
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Zohran Mamdani be named Time's Person of the Year for 2026?
Happens
30%
price $0.30
Does not happen
70%
price $0.70
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$929.1kResolution: 1 January 2027
Will Manchester City Win the 2026-27 Champions League?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$916.3kResolution: 20 June 2027
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will the GTA 6 launch be postponed again?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$897.9kResolution: 19 November 2026
Open on Binance Wallet
Will Elena Rybakina beat Coco Gauff at the 2026 National Bank Open?
Happens
30%
price $0.30
Does not happen
70%
price $0.70
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$897.8kResolution: 20 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 30 September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$892.3kResolution: 30 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 at any point in August 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$881.3kResolution: 1 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
Did Qinwen Zheng defeat Madison Keys at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$874.8kResolution: 11 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Kawhi Leonard's next NBA team be the Toronto Raptors?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$873.8kResolution: 21 October 2026
0 pp
Will the US formally declare war on Iran by 31 December 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$865.7kResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Pete Hegseth leave the role of US Secretary of Defense by 31 December 2026?
Happens
33%
price $0.33
Does not happen
67%
price $0.67
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$860.5kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 31 December 2026?
Happens
28%
price $0.28
Does not happen
72%
price $0.72
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$842.4kResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$842.0kResolution: 1 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will OpenAI complete its IPO by 31 December 2026?
Happens
96%
price $0.96
Does not happen
4%
price $0.04
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$837.5kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket

Events

Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal by 30 November 2026?

Will Brandon Nakashima beat Frances Tiafoe at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?

Will SpaceX have the highest market cap of any company that IPOs in 2026?

Will Arnold Allen be officially announced as Alexander Volkanovski's next UFC opponent?

Will BP be acquired before 2027?

Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?

Will the 2026 US midterm elections take place as scheduled on 3 November 2026?

Will Bitcoin fall to $77,500 at any point in October 2026?

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on the LMArena leaderboard at the end of October 2026?

Will Elena Rybakina beat Coco Gauff at the 2026 US Open?

Did Tommy Paul defeat Alexander Zverev at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on the LMArena leaderboard at the end of September 2026?

Will Novak Djokovic beat Alex de Minaur at the 2026 China Open?

Will Grand Theft Auto VI be released before 1 January 2027?

Will Carlos Alcaraz beat Roman Safiullin at the 2026 US Open?

Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October 2026?

Will Paramount Complete a Takeover of Warner Bros. Before July 2027?

Will Iga Swiatek beat Donna Vekic at the 2026 China Open?

Will Iga Świątek beat Elina Svitolina at the 2026 National Bank Open?

Did Karen Khachanov defeat Felix Auger-Aliassime at the 2026 US Open?

Will Bitcoin Reach $95,000 in September 2026?

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?

Will Zohran Mamdani be named Time's Person of the Year for 2026?

Will Manchester City Win the 2026-27 Champions League?

Will the GTA 6 launch be postponed again?

Will Elena Rybakina beat Coco Gauff at the 2026 National Bank Open?

Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 30 September 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 at any point in August 2026?

Did Qinwen Zheng defeat Madison Keys at the 2026 US Open?

Will Kawhi Leonard's next NBA team be the Toronto Raptors?

Will the US formally declare war on Iran by 31 December 2026?

Will Pete Hegseth leave the role of US Secretary of Defense by 31 December 2026?

Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 31 December 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October 2026?

Will OpenAI complete its IPO by 31 December 2026?