0 pp
Will Kash Patel be out as FBI Director before 1 August 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$641.6kResolution: 1 August 2026
Events
- −1 pp
Will Grand Theft Auto VI be released before 1 January 2027?
Happens
89%
price $0.89
Does not happen
11%
price $0.11
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$625.5kResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Donald Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$600.1kResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will the 2026 Super Bowl champion visit the White House before the end of 2026?
Happens
33%
price $0.33
Does not happen
67%
price $0.67
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$592.7kResolution: 31 December 2026 - −0.5 pp
Will Donald Trump be Google's #1 most-searched person globally in 2026?
Happens
14%
price $0.14
Does not happen
86%
price $0.86
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$564.5kResolution: 31 December 2026 - +1 pp
Will Apple release the iPhone 18 before 2027?
Happens
21%
price $0.21
Does not happen
79%
price $0.79
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$512.5kResolution: 1 January 2027 - +3.5 pp
Will Kawhi Leonard's next NBA team be the Toronto Raptors?
Happens
68%
price $0.68
Does not happen
32%
price $0.32
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$441.0kResolution: 21 October 2026 - 0 pp
Will the US government take a stake in Spirit Airlines in 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$290.9kResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Justice Samuel Alito retire from the Supreme Court before January 2027?
Happens
13%
price $0.13
Does not happen
87%
price $0.87
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$264.8kResolution: 1 January 2027 - +6.5 pp
Will Bronny James' next team be the Los Angeles Lakers before 23 October 2026?
Happens
86%
price $0.86
Does not happen
14%
price $0.14
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$240.5kResolution: 23 October 2026 - −1 pp
Will Anthropic Have the Best Coding AI Model at the End of 2026?
Happens
56%
price $0.56
Does not happen
44%
price $0.44
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$235.0kResolution: 31 December 2026 - +1 pp
Will Zohran Mamdani be named Time's Person of the Year for 2026?
Happens
27%
price $0.27
Does not happen
73%
price $0.73
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$227.1kResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother Season 28?
Happens
19%
price $0.19
Does not happen
81%
price $0.81
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$210.4kResolution: 7 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Anthropic release a model called "Mythos" before January 1, 2027?
Happens
18%
price $0.18
Does not happen
82%
price $0.82
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$201.6kResolution: 1 January 2027 - −1 pp
Will Drake be the most-streamed artist on Spotify in the U.S. in 2026?
Happens
78%
price $0.78
Does not happen
22%
price $0.22
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$191.1kResolution: 31 December 2026 - +0.5 pp
Will Jerome Powell announce his departure or leave as a Federal Reserve Governor before 1 January 2027?
Happens
25%
price $0.25
Does not happen
75%
price $0.75
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$166.6kResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Bad Bunny be the most-streamed artist on Spotify in 2026?
Happens
78%
price $0.78
Does not happen
22%
price $0.22
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$124.4kResolution: 1 January 2027 - −1 pp
Will OpenAI officially announce an IPO before January 1, 2027?
Happens
26%
price $0.26
Does not happen
74%
price $0.74
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$115.3kResolution: 1 January 2027