Will Team Vision Win The International 2026 Dota 2 Championship?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$664.0kActual outcome: No
Events
- 0 pp
Will Kash Patel be out as FBI Director before 1 August 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$646.2kActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Hyperliquid (HYPE) reach $100 by 31 December 2026?
Happens
49%
price $0.49
Does not happen
51%
price $0.51
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$632.0kActual outcome: Yes - 0 pp
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's US Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$599.2kActual outcome: No Will Ethereum's price dip to $1,800 or below in August 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$593.6kActual outcome: Yes- 0 pp
Will OpenAI release GPT-6 to the general public by September 30, 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$580.6kActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on LMArena at the end of August 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$526.7kActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$517.0kActual outcome: No Will Israel withdraw its ground forces from beyond the Litani River in Lebanon by 31 December 2026?
Happens
13%
price $0.13
Does not happen
87%
price $0.87
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$510.7kActual outcome: NoWill WTI crude oil fall to $65 a barrel at any point in August 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$484.6kActual outcome: No- 0 pp
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$477.2kActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Vinicius Junior remain at Real Madrid through the 2026 summer transfer window?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$474.3kActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will the US announce it is withdrawing from the Iran nuclear ceasefire negotiations by 31 August 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$472.6kActual outcome: No Will WTI Crude Oil Hit $150 a Barrel in August 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$471.2kActual outcome: NoWill WTI crude oil hit $140 per barrel in August 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$407.0kActual outcome: No- 0 pp
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend of any movie released in 2026?
Happens
53%
price $0.53
Does not happen
47%
price $0.47
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$345.9kActual outcome: No Will Ethereum (ETH) reach $2,000 at any point in August 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$341.0kActual outcome: YesWill Rodri Join Barcelona Before September 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$330.3kActual outcome: No- 0 pp
Will Justice Samuel Alito retire from the Supreme Court before January 2027?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$324.9kActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka's railroad station by 31 July 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$290.5kActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$276.9kActual outcome: No Will Alibaba have the top-ranked Chinese AI model on the Chimera Arena leaderboard at the end of August 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$266.1kActual outcome: No- 0 pp
Will Anthropic release a model called "Mythos" before January 1, 2027?
Happens
12%
price $0.12
Does not happen
88%
price $0.88
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$248.3kActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Apple be the world's second-largest company by market cap on 31 July 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$232.3kActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Israel withdraw all its ground forces from Lebanon by 31 December 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$225.8kActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Jerome Powell announce his departure or leave as a Federal Reserve Governor before 1 January 2027?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$193.7kActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will OpenAI officially announce an IPO before January 1, 2027?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$136.8kActual outcome: No