Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$7.96mResolution: 1 January 2027
Events
Will Donald Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$7.96mResolution: 1 April 2027- 0 pp
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran's de facto head of state at the end of 2026?
Happens
85%
price $0.85
Does not happen
15%
price $0.15
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$6.90mResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Happens
77%
price $0.77
Does not happen
23%
price $0.23
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$6.85mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will GameStop Acquire eBay Before 2027?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$6.77mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Formula 1 Drivers' Championship?
Happens
98%
price $0.98
Does not happen
2%
price $0.02
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$6.65mActual outcome: No Will the US record at least 10,000 measles cases in 2026?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$6.53mResolution: 1 January 2027Will Unitree Robotics' IPO closing market cap exceed ¥400 billion in 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$6.23mResolution: 1 January 2027Will Islam Makhachev beat Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$5.74mResolution: 16 August 2026- 0 pp
Will OpenSea launch a token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$5.67mActual outcome: No Will the US announce an end to its naval blockade of Iran by 30 September 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$5.59mActual outcome: No- 0 pp
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by 31 December 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$5.57mActual outcome: Yes Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through October 2026?
Happens
78%
price $0.78
Does not happen
22%
price $0.22
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$5.50mResolution: 31 October 2026Will Satoshi Nakamoto's Bitcoin move in 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$5.31mResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal by August 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$5.30mActual outcome: No Which team will win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$4.91mActual outcome: No- 0 pp
Will the Democrats win control of the US Senate in the 2026 midterm elections?
Happens
69%
price $0.69
Does not happen
31%
price $0.31
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$4.55mResolution: 3 November 2026 - 0 pp
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Happens
46%
price $0.46
Does not happen
54%
price $0.54
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$4.33mResolution: 19 April 2027 - 0 pp
Who will win the 2026 American League MVP award?
Happens
97%
price $0.97
Does not happen
3%
price $0.03
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$4.29mResolution: 8 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will Texas win the College Football Playoff National Championship for the 2026 season?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$4.19mResolution: 23 February 2027 Will Alexander Zverev beat Karen Khachanov at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$4.16mResolution: 18 September 2026Who will win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Happens
18%
price $0.18
Does not happen
82%
price $0.82
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$4.04mActual outcome: No- 0 pp
Will Mitch McConnell resign from the Senate before the 2026 midterms?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$3.99mResolution: 3 November 2026 Will California pass a one-time billionaire wealth tax in the November 2026 election?
Happens
22%
price $0.22
Does not happen
78%
price $0.78
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.95mResolution: 4 November 2026Will the US announce the end of its naval blockade on Iran by 31 December 2026?
Happens
36%
price $0.36
Does not happen
64%
price $0.64
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.94mResolution: 1 January 2027Will Karen Khachanov beat Alexander Blockx at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
96%
price $0.96
Does not happen
4%
price $0.04
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.91mResolution: 16 September 2026Will the US announce an end to its naval blockade of Iran by 15 October 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.67mActual outcome: NoWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy cease to be President of Ukraine by the end of 2026?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.64mResolution: 1 January 2027Will the United States invade Cuba in 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.64mResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Will Nicolás Maduro still be Venezuela's head of state on 31 December 2026?
Happens
76%
price $0.76
Does not happen
24%
price $0.24
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.63mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market cap on 31 July 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.60mResolution: 31 July 2026 Will Israel close its airspace by 30 September 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.57mResolution: 1 October 2026Will China and Taiwan have a military clash before 2027?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.49mResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal by the end of 2026?
Happens
9%
price $0.09
Does not happen
91%
price $0.91
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$3.43mResolution: 1 January 2027 Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.41mResolution: 5 October 2026Did Coco Gauff defeat Mirra Andreeva in their 2026 US Open match?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.36mResolution: 15 September 2026