0 pp
Will Arc launch a token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$148.9kResolution: 1 January 2027
Events
Will the Georgia Bulldogs Win the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship?
Happens
17%
price $0.17
Does not happen
83%
price $0.83
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$142.1kResolution: 26 January 2027Will NATO and Russian military forces engage in a direct armed clash by 30 November 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$131.7kResolution: 1 December 2026Will the US carry out military strikes on 8 or more countries in 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$131.2kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Russia capture any territory of Kharkiv city by 31 December 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$125.7kResolution: 1 January 2027Will CATL be removed from the Pentagon's Chinese military companies list by mid-2027?
Happens
22%
price $0.22
Does not happen
78%
price $0.78
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$125.4kResolution: 1 July 2027Will Solana (SOL) reach $130 at any point in September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$119.5kResolution: 1 October 2026Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapons test by 31 December 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$116.0kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Russia and Ukraine reach a ceasefire agreement by 30 November 2026?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$114.0kResolution: 1 December 2026Will MrBeast's Next YouTube Video Reach 100 Million Views in Its First Week?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$107.8kResolution: 11 October 2026- 0 pp
Will the US Send a Warship Through the Strait of Hormuz by 31 July 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$105.8kResolution: 31 July 2026 Will Google have the top-ranked AI model on LMArena at the end of November 2026?
Happens
72%
price $0.72
Does not happen
28%
price $0.28
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$102.4kResolution: 1 December 2026Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 Bundesliga title?
Happens
88%
price $0.88
Does not happen
12%
price $0.12
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$99.6kResolution: 15 June 2027Will Russia capture Mykolaivka, Donetsk Oblast, by 31 December 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$96.4kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Christine Fréchette become Premier of Quebec after the 2026 election?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$91.7kResolution: 6 October 2026Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for US President before the end of 2026?
Happens
12%
price $0.12
Does not happen
88%
price $0.88
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$90.9kResolution: 1 January 2027Will MrBeast's next YouTube video hit 45 million views in its first 24 hours?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$90.5kResolution: 6 October 2026Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by the end of 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$89.5kResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Will China's official 2026 GDP growth land in the five-to-six percent bracket?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$88.1kResolution: 31 January 2027 Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP award?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$85.9kResolution: 15 February 2027Will XRP Reach $2.00 in September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$85.2kResolution: 1 October 2026Will Delcy Rodríguez Be Venezuela's De Facto Leader By The End Of 2026?
Happens
89%
price $0.89
Does not happen
11%
price $0.11
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$84.9kResolution: 31 December 2026Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
Happens
79%
price $0.79
Does not happen
21%
price $0.21
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$84.9kResolution: 19 December 2026Will Oura's IPO value the company at $20 billion or more on day one?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$73.9kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Pedro Sánchez be the next of this group of world leaders to leave office before 2027?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$73.2kResolution: 1 January 2027Will the US sign a new trade deal with India before 2027?
Happens
18%
price $0.18
Does not happen
82%
price $0.82
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$68.9kResolution: 31 December 2026Will an AI lab solve a Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?
Happens
14%
price $0.14
Does not happen
86%
price $0.86
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$62.5kResolution: 1 January 2027Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup?
Happens
11%
price $0.11
Does not happen
89%
price $0.89
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$59.4kResolution: 1 July 2027Will the GTA 6 Extended Look be at least 3 minutes long?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$12.8kResolution: 27 August 2026Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?
Happens
98%
price $0.98
Does not happen
2%
price $0.02
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$9.6kResolution: 19 November 2026Will Rockstar confirm that GTA VI gameplay was leaked by the end of 2026?
Happens
98%
price $0.98
Does not happen
2%
price $0.02
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$9.6kResolution: 31 December 2026- 0 pp
Will Josh Allen Win the 2026 NFL MVP Award?
Happens
36%
price $0.36
Does not happen
64%
price $0.64
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$1.3kResolution: 15 February 2027 - 0 pp
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 title?
Happens
84%
price $0.84
Does not happen
16%
price $0.16
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$152.7Resolution: 30 May 2027