Will Miguel Díaz-Canel cease to be president of Cuba by 31 December 2026?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$782.0kResolution: 1 January 2027
Events
Will Bitcoin fall to $62,500 or lower at any point in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$779.7kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Republicans win the 2026 Kansas U.S. Senate race?
Happens
59%
price $0.59
Does not happen
41%
price $0.41
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$778.7kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Bitcoin fall to $65,000 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$756.9kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Kim Jong Un Stop Being North Korea's Supreme Leader by the End of 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$750.8kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$750.8kResolution: 1 January 2027Will the Democratic Party win the 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate race?
Happens
28%
price $0.28
Does not happen
72%
price $0.72
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$738.5kResolution: 4 November 2026- 0 pp
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top-grossing film of 2026 at the US box office?
Happens
94%
price $0.94
Does not happen
6%
price $0.06
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$738.4kResolution: 8 January 2027 Will the US-Yemen ceasefire hold through 31 October 2026?
Happens
98%
price $0.98
Does not happen
2%
price $0.02
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$726.6kResolution: 31 October 2026Will Lindsay Clancy be convicted of murder by 31 December 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$724.1kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$721.9kResolution: 1 November 2026Will the Israel-Iran ceasefire hold through 30 November 2026?
Happens
53%
price $0.53
Does not happen
47%
price $0.47
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$711.2kResolution: 30 November 2026Will Anthropic complete an IPO before 2027?
Happens
94%
price $0.94
Does not happen
6%
price $0.06
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$705.0kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Novak Djokovic beat Ugo Humbert at the Swiss Indoors Basel 2026?
Happens
80%
price $0.80
Does not happen
20%
price $0.20
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$698.5kResolution: 3 November 2026Will Bitcoin fall to $75,000 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$693.7kResolution: 1 November 2026Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$677.3kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Bitcoin Reach $92,500 at Any Point in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$676.2kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Happens
98%
price $0.98
Does not happen
2%
price $0.02
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$675.9kResolution: 13 November 2026- 0 pp
Will the 2026 Super Bowl champion visit the White House before the end of 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$669.2kResolution: 31 December 2026 Will a Republican win the 2026 Texas governor race?
Happens
62%
price $0.62
Does not happen
38%
price $0.38
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$660.2kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$653.4kResolution: 1 November 2026Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 15 November 2026 without a US military strike on Iran?
Happens
57%
price $0.57
Does not happen
43%
price $0.43
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$652.6kResolution: 16 November 2026Will Bitcoin fall to $60,000 or below in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$646.9kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Iran formally withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2027?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$641.2kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Russia invade another country besides Ukraine in 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$638.1kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$635.0kResolution: 1 January 2027Will OpenAI complete an IPO before 2027?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$618.8kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Russia capture Lyman, Ukraine by 31 December 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$588.5kResolution: 1 January 2027Will there be a military clash between China and the Philippines before 2027?
Happens
19%
price $0.19
Does not happen
81%
price $0.81
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$563.2kResolution: 1 January 2027Will the Republican candidate win the Nebraska U.S. Senate race in 2026?
Happens
71%
price $0.71
Does not happen
29%
price $0.29
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$559.2kResolution: 4 November 2026Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Ohio governor race?
Happens
82%
price $0.82
Does not happen
18%
price $0.18
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$558.1kResolution: 4 November 2026Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Nevada governor election?
Happens
80%
price $0.80
Does not happen
20%
price $0.20
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$554.5kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Republicans win the 2026 Iowa U.S. Senate race?
Happens
55%
price $0.55
Does not happen
45%
price $0.45
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$552.4kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Happens
88%
price $0.88
Does not happen
12%
price $0.12
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$551.6kResolution: 1 December 2026Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$547.4kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Logan Gilbert win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$530.4kResolution: 12 November 2026