0 pp
Will the US government take a stake in Spirit Airlines in 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$296.8kResolution: 1 January 2027
Events
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 at any point in August 2026?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$281.9kResolution: 1 September 2026- 0 pp
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend of any movie released in 2026?
Happens
34%
price $0.34
Does not happen
66%
price $0.66
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$275.5kActual outcome: No Will Unitree Robotics' IPO close with a market capitalization above ¥250 billion?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$268.4kResolution: 1 January 2027Will a Democrat win the 2026 Wisconsin governor race?
Happens
81%
price $0.81
Does not happen
19%
price $0.19
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$248.7kResolution: 3 November 2026- 0 pp
Will Anthropic Have the Best Coding AI Model at the End of 2026?
Happens
58%
price $0.58
Does not happen
42%
price $0.42
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$242.4kResolution: 31 December 2026 Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election?
Happens
62%
price $0.62
Does not happen
38%
price $0.38
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$233.9kResolution: 3 November 2026- 0 pp
Will Anthropic release a model called "Mythos" before January 1, 2027?
Happens
17%
price $0.17
Does not happen
83%
price $0.83
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$223.4kActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Drake be the most-streamed artist on Spotify in the U.S. in 2026?
Happens
83%
price $0.83
Does not happen
17%
price $0.17
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$217.9kResolution: 31 December 2026 Will Alibaba have the top-ranked Chinese AI model on the Chimera Arena leaderboard at the end of August 2026?
Happens
93%
price $0.93
Does not happen
7%
price $0.07
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$205.2kResolution: 31 August 2026- 0 pp
Will Israel withdraw all its ground forces from Lebanon by 31 December 2026?
Happens
10%
price $0.10
Does not happen
90%
price $0.90
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$198.0kActual outcome: No Will Elon Musk be the world's richest person on 31 December 2026?
Happens
97%
price $0.97
Does not happen
3%
price $0.03
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$194.4kResolution: 31 December 2026Will Bitcoin Fall to $70,000 or Below in August 2026?
Happens
12%
price $0.12
Does not happen
88%
price $0.88
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$192.6kResolution: 1 September 2026Will Unitree Robotics' IPO closing market capitalization exceed ¥100 billion?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$192.6kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Tempo launch a governance token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$176.4kResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Will Jerome Powell announce his departure or leave as a Federal Reserve Governor before 1 January 2027?
Happens
19%
price $0.19
Does not happen
81%
price $0.81
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$173.1kActual outcome: No Will Unitree Robotics' IPO close with a market capitalization above ¥60 billion?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$154.9kResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Will Iran carry out a military strike on Ukraine by 30 September 2026?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$152.7kResolution: 30 September 2026 Will Iran Fully Close Its Airspace by 31 December 2026?
Happens
26%
price $0.26
Does not happen
74%
price $0.74
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$151.7kResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Will Arc launch a token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
22%
price $0.22
Does not happen
78%
price $0.78
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$148.9kResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will the Fed Change Interest Rates at Its October 2026 Meeting?
Happens
72%
price $0.72
Does not happen
28%
price $0.28
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$146.4kResolution: 28 October 2026 Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Happens
50%
price $0.50
Does not happen
50%
price $0.50
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$143.2kResolution: 3 November 2026- 0 pp
Will Bad Bunny be the most-streamed artist on Spotify in 2026?
Happens
87%
price $0.87
Does not happen
13%
price $0.13
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$134.9kResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Tesla and SpaceX Officially Announce a Merger by 31 December 2026?
Happens
19%
price $0.19
Does not happen
81%
price $0.81
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$134.2kResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will OpenAI officially announce an IPO before January 1, 2027?
Happens
19%
price $0.19
Does not happen
81%
price $0.81
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$128.1kActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Which club will win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$124.1kResolution: 30 May 2027 Will another official GTA VI trailer be released by 31 August 2026?
Happens
33%
price $0.33
Does not happen
67%
price $0.67
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$109.0kResolution: 31 August 2026Will the US carry out a military strike on Iran before 31 October 2026?
Happens
67%
price $0.67
Does not happen
33%
price $0.33
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$104.8kResolution: 31 October 2026Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Happens
21%
price $0.21
Does not happen
79%
price $0.79
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$96.2kResolution: 19 December 2026Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market capitalization on 30 September 2026?
Happens
93%
price $0.93
Does not happen
7%
price $0.07
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$95.1kResolution: 30 September 2026Will Manchester City Win the 2026-27 Champions League?
Happens
9%
price $0.09
Does not happen
91%
price $0.91
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$93.5kResolution: 30 May 2027Will the Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec election?
Happens
72%
price $0.72
Does not happen
28%
price $0.28
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$92.9kResolution: 5 October 2026Will Donald Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in person in 2026?
Happens
46%
price $0.46
Does not happen
54%
price $0.54
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$85.7kResolution: 31 December 2026Will Delcy Rodríguez Be Venezuela's De Facto Leader By The End Of 2026?
Happens
89%
price $0.89
Does not happen
11%
price $0.11
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$84.9kResolution: 31 December 2026Will Anthropic Have the Top AI Model on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard by End of 2026?
Happens
70%
price $0.70
Does not happen
30%
price $0.30
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$82.4kResolution: 31 December 2026Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win the League of Legends World Championship 2026?
Happens
68%
price $0.68
Does not happen
32%
price $0.32
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$77.6kResolution: 31 December 2026