0 pp
Will Base launch its own token by 30 September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$510.7kResolution: 1 October 2026
Events
Will the Fed funds target upper bound end 2026 at three percent?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$498.6kResolution: 9 December 2026Will Databricks Complete an IPO Before 2027?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$490.8kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Russia capture Lyman, Ukraine by 31 December 2026?
Happens
15%
price $0.15
Does not happen
85%
price $0.85
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$484.6kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 at any point in September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$469.4kResolution: 1 October 2026Will there be a military clash between China and the Philippines before 2027?
Happens
28%
price $0.28
Does not happen
72%
price $0.72
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$467.3kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September 2026?
Happens
35%
price $0.35
Does not happen
65%
price $0.65
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$464.8kResolution: 1 October 2026Will Russia invade another country besides Ukraine in 2026?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$461.2kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Kanye West perform live in Russia by 31 October 2026?
Happens
27%
price $0.27
Does not happen
73%
price $0.73
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$460.5kResolution: 1 November 2026- 0 pp
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Happens
22%
price $0.22
Does not happen
78%
price $0.78
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$455.1kResolution: 1 July 2027 Will Russia capture Sumy's railroad station by 31 March 2027?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$444.2kResolution: 1 April 2027Will the Democratic Party win the 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate race?
Happens
60%
price $0.60
Does not happen
40%
price $0.40
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$443.1kResolution: 3 November 2026Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize diplomatic relations before 2027?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$435.4kResolution: 31 December 2026Will Pete Hegseth leave the role of US Secretary of Defense by 31 December 2026?
Happens
24%
price $0.24
Does not happen
76%
price $0.76
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$426.1kResolution: 31 December 2026Will Zoom Video Communications Be Acquired Before 2027?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$424.9kResolution: 1 January 2027Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market capitalization on 30 September 2026?
Happens
91%
price $0.91
Does not happen
9%
price $0.09
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$419.6kResolution: 30 September 2026Will there be a military clash between Israel and Turkey before 2027?
Happens
13%
price $0.13
Does not happen
87%
price $0.87
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$417.9kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Bad Bunny be Spotify's top artist for 2026?
Happens
87%
price $0.87
Does not happen
13%
price $0.13
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$410.9kResolution: 31 December 2026Will the 2026 US midterm elections take place as scheduled on 3 November 2026?
Happens
98%
price $0.98
Does not happen
2%
price $0.02
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$409.8kResolution: 31 December 2026- 0 pp
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LaLiga championship?
Happens
70%
price $0.70
Does not happen
30%
price $0.30
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$406.4kResolution: 30 May 2027 Will Manchester City Win the 2026-27 Champions League?
Happens
9%
price $0.09
Does not happen
91%
price $0.91
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$396.0kResolution: 30 May 2027Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$359.9kResolution: 1 January 2027Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal by 30 November 2026?
Happens
10%
price $0.10
Does not happen
90%
price $0.90
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$343.5kResolution: 30 November 2026Will the US carry out a military strike on Iran before 31 October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$343.0kResolution: 31 October 2026Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$322.6kResolution: 1 October 2026Will the Bab el-Mandeb Strait be effectively closed to shipping by 31 October 2026?
Happens
16%
price $0.16
Does not happen
84%
price $0.84
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$313.9kResolution: 1 November 2026Will a Democrat win the 2026 Wisconsin governor race?
Happens
83%
price $0.83
Does not happen
17%
price $0.17
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$311.3kResolution: 3 November 2026- 0 pp
Which club will win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$311.2kResolution: 30 May 2027 - 0 pp
Will the Fed Change Interest Rates at Its October 2026 Meeting?
Happens
62%
price $0.62
Does not happen
38%
price $0.38
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$307.9kResolution: 28 October 2026 Will Iran Fully Close Its Airspace by 31 December 2026?
Happens
27%
price $0.27
Does not happen
73%
price $0.73
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$307.4kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Happens
28%
price $0.28
Does not happen
72%
price $0.72
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$301.0kResolution: 31 December 2026Will Strait of Hormuz shipping traffic return to normal levels in 2026?
Happens
83%
price $0.83
Does not happen
17%
price $0.17
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$295.4kResolution: 31 December 2026Will Alberta vote for independence from Canada in 2026?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$292.9kResolution: 31 December 2026Will the US and Iran hold a formal diplomatic meeting by 31 December 2026?
Happens
44%
price $0.44
Does not happen
56%
price $0.56
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$276.3kResolution: 31 December 2026Will Russia and Ukraine hold peace talks by 31 December 2026?
Happens
70%
price $0.70
Does not happen
30%
price $0.30
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$273.4kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election?
Happens
68%
price $0.68
Does not happen
32%
price $0.32
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$256.5kResolution: 3 November 2026