Events

Filters (2)

36 events / 113

0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve leave interest rates unchanged after its September 2026 meeting?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$56.61mActual outcome: No
0 pp
Will Lula win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$48.29mActual outcome: No
0 pp
Who will win the 2026 World Series?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$48.18mActual outcome: No
0 pp
Will the US government confirm that extraterrestrial life exists before 2027?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$43.08mActual outcome: No
0 pp
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be President of Russia by 31 December 2026?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$26.73mActual outcome: No
0 pp
Will United Russia gain the most seats of any party in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$24.48mActual outcome: No
0 pp
Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal levels by 31 August 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$22.14mActual outcome: No
0 pp
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$15.41mActual outcome: No
0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least once in 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$12.18mActual outcome: No
0 pp
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Formula 1 Drivers' Championship?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$7.18mActual outcome: No
Will the US announce an end to its naval blockade of Iran by 30 September 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$5.59mActual outcome: No
0 pp
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by 31 December 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$5.58mActual outcome: Yes
0 pp
Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal by August 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$5.30mActual outcome: No
Which team will win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$4.91mActual outcome: No
Who will win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Happens
16%
price $0.16
Does not happen
84%
price $0.84
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$4.07mActual outcome: No
Will the US-Iran ceasefire continue through 22 October 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.86mActual outcome: Yes
Will the US announce an end to its naval blockade of Iran by 15 October 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.67mActual outcome: No
Will the Israel-Iran ceasefire hold through 30 September 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.34mActual outcome: Yes
0 pp
Will the Israel-Iran ceasefire hold through 31 August 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.33mActual outcome: Yes
0 pp
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 at any point in July 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.21mActual outcome: Yes
0 pp
Will Russia and Ukraine reach a ceasefire by 31 December 2026?
Happens
16%
price $0.16
Does not happen
84%
price $0.84
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.08mActual outcome: No
0 pp
Will the Israel-Iran ceasefire hold through 15 August 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.53mActual outcome: Yes
0 pp
Will Iran agree to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by 31 December 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.50mActual outcome: No
0 pp
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.46mActual outcome: No
Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 30 September 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.45mActual outcome: Yes
0 pp
Will the Israel-Iran ceasefire hold through 9 August 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.36mActual outcome: Yes
0 pp
Will There Be a Direct Military Clash Between NATO and Russia by 31 August 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.12mActual outcome: No
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.12mActual outcome: Yes
Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 15 October 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.12mActual outcome: Yes
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 at any point in September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.02mActual outcome: Yes
Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 12 October 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.99mActual outcome: Yes
0 pp
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.95mActual outcome: No
Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 24 October 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.88mActual outcome: Yes
Will Mike Trout hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.75mActual outcome: No
Did the Phillies beat the Braves on 1 October 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.67mActual outcome: Atlanta Braves
Will the Bab el-Mandeb Strait be effectively closed to shipping by 31 October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.67mActual outcome: No

Events

Will the Federal Reserve leave interest rates unchanged after its September 2026 meeting?

Will Lula win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?

Who will win the 2026 World Series?

Will the US government confirm that extraterrestrial life exists before 2027?

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be President of Russia by 31 December 2026?

Will United Russia gain the most seats of any party in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election?

Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal levels by 31 August 2026?

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least once in 2026?

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Formula 1 Drivers' Championship?

Will the US announce an end to its naval blockade of Iran by 30 September 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by 31 December 2026?

Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal by August 2026?

Which team will win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Who will win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Will the US-Iran ceasefire continue through 22 October 2026?

Will the US announce an end to its naval blockade of Iran by 15 October 2026?

Will the Israel-Iran ceasefire hold through 30 September 2026?

Will the Israel-Iran ceasefire hold through 31 August 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 at any point in July 2026?

Will Russia and Ukraine reach a ceasefire by 31 December 2026?

Will the Israel-Iran ceasefire hold through 15 August 2026?

Will Iran agree to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by 31 December 2026?

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary?

Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 30 September 2026?

Will the Israel-Iran ceasefire hold through 9 August 2026?

Will There Be a Direct Military Clash Between NATO and Russia by 31 August 2026?

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September 2026?

Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 15 October 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 at any point in September 2026?

Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 12 October 2026?

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 24 October 2026?

Will Mike Trout hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?

Did the Phillies beat the Braves on 1 October 2026?

Will the Bab el-Mandeb Strait be effectively closed to shipping by 31 October 2026?