Will Paddy Pimblett Be UFC Lightweight Champion by the End of 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$526.0kResolution: 31 December 2026
Events
- 0 pp
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$517.0kActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will 30 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz in a single day before 31 July 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$513.2kResolution: 31 July 2026 Will Naomi Osaka defeat Leylah Fernandez at the 2026 National Bank Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$511.9kResolution: 16 August 2026Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal levels by 15 September 2026?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$500.6kResolution: 15 September 2026Will Anthropic complete an IPO before 2027?
Happens
90%
price $0.90
Does not happen
10%
price $0.10
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$493.4kResolution: 31 December 2026Will Databricks Complete an IPO Before 2027?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$487.7kResolution: 31 December 2026Will NATO forces shoot down another Russian drone by 31 August 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$485.6kResolution: 31 August 2026Will Daniel Altmaier beat Coleman Wong at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$477.0kResolution: 21 August 2026- 0 pp
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on LMArena at the end of August 2026?
Happens
98%
price $0.98
Does not happen
2%
price $0.02
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$475.3kResolution: 31 August 2026 - 0 pp
Will Vinicius Junior remain at Real Madrid through the 2026 summer transfer window?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$474.3kActual outcome: No Will the Seattle Mariners beat the Houston Astros on 21 August 2026?
Happens
90%
price $0.90
Does not happen
10%
price $0.10
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$472.5kResolution: 22 August 2026- 0 pp
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Happens
21%
price $0.21
Does not happen
79%
price $0.79
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$470.8kResolution: 1 July 2027 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers beat the Milwaukee Brewers on 22 August 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$470.7kResolution: 22 August 2026Will OpenAI complete an IPO before 2027?
Happens
18%
price $0.18
Does not happen
82%
price $0.82
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$467.6kResolution: 31 December 2026- 0 pp
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
Happens
16%
price $0.16
Does not happen
84%
price $0.84
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$465.2kResolution: 31 December 2026 Will the Republican candidate win the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race?
Happens
49%
price $0.49
Does not happen
51%
price $0.51
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$454.6kResolution: 3 November 2026Will there be a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by 31 December 2026?
Happens
17%
price $0.17
Does not happen
83%
price $0.83
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$453.4kResolution: 31 December 2026Will Coco Gauff defeat Belinda Bencic at the 2026 National Bank Open?
Happens
50%
price $0.50
Does not happen
50%
price $0.50
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$443.3kResolution: 18 August 2026Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 30 September 2026?
Happens
75%
price $0.75
Does not happen
25%
price $0.25
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$430.4kResolution: 30 September 2026Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize diplomatic relations before 2027?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$429.1kResolution: 31 December 2026- 0 pp
Did XRP's price reach $3.00 at any point in July 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$422.4kResolution: 1 August 2026 Will Zoom Video Communications Be Acquired Before 2027?
Happens
10%
price $0.10
Does not happen
90%
price $0.90
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$419.3kResolution: 31 December 2026- Hot
Did Aryna Sabalenka defeat Xinyu Wang at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$414.5kResolution: 25 August 2026 Will Bad Bunny be Spotify's top artist for 2026?
Happens
90%
price $0.90
Does not happen
10%
price $0.10
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$394.4kResolution: 31 December 2026- 0 pp
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LaLiga Championship?
Happens
38%
price $0.38
Does not happen
62%
price $0.62
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$389.3kResolution: 30 May 2027 - 0 pp
Will the US announce it is withdrawing from the Iran nuclear ceasefire negotiations by 31 August 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$376.8kActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LaLiga championship?
Happens
59%
price $0.59
Does not happen
41%
price $0.41
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$375.7kResolution: 30 May 2027 Will Iran formally withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2027?
Happens
9%
price $0.09
Does not happen
91%
price $0.91
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$364.4kResolution: 31 December 2026Will Ethereum's price dip to $1,800 or below in August 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$355.3kActual outcome: YesWill Pete Hegseth leave the role of US Secretary of Defense by 31 December 2026?
Happens
23%
price $0.23
Does not happen
77%
price $0.77
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$345.3kResolution: 31 December 2026Will Ethereum (ETH) reach $2,000 at any point in August 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$341.0kActual outcome: Yes- 0 pp
Will the US Announce a Halt to Its Military Operations Against Iran by 15 August 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$336.1kResolution: 15 August 2026 Will the 2026 US midterm elections take place as scheduled on 3 November 2026?
Happens
96%
price $0.96
Does not happen
4%
price $0.04
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$332.0kResolution: 31 December 2026Will Rodri Join Barcelona Before September 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$330.3kActual outcome: NoWill there be a military clash between Israel and Turkey before 2027?
Happens
11%
price $0.11
Does not happen
89%
price $0.89
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$320.9kResolution: 31 December 2026