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36 events / 393

0 pp
Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal levels before July 2027?
Happens
33%
price $0.33
Does not happen
67%
price $0.67
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.64mResolution: 1 July 2027
Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 28 October 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.63mResolution: 29 October 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Ben Shelton beat Stefanos Tsitsipas at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.59mResolution: 13 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Kamala Harris win the 2026 California Governor election?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.57mResolution: 4 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Maine U.S. Senate race?
Happens
64%
price $0.64
Does not happen
36%
price $0.36
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.53mResolution: 4 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas beat Jiri Lehecka at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.52mResolution: 11 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will the US-Iran ceasefire continue through the 2026 US midterm elections?
Happens
94%
price $0.94
Does not happen
6%
price $0.06
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.51mResolution: 4 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market cap at the end of 2026?
Happens
64%
price $0.64
Does not happen
36%
price $0.36
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.50mResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will the US government confirm that aliens exist by 31 October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.47mResolution: 1 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will there be a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by 31 December 2026?
Happens
13%
price $0.13
Does not happen
87%
price $0.87
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.43mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will China and Japan have a military clash before 2027?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.43mResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will Kylian Mbappé finish higher than Lamine Yamal in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.39mResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will the US formally withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.35mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Iran Lose Control of Kharg Island by 31 October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.35mResolution: 1 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will the US and Iran sign a final nuclear deal by 31 October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.34mResolution: 1 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Donald Trump be Google's #1 most-searched person globally in 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.32mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will the Boston Red Sox beat the New York Yankees on 5 September 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.31mResolution: 5 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.29mResolution: 1 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Ben Shelton beat Joao Fonseca at the 2026 National Bank Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.28mResolution: 17 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Aryna Sabalenka beat Jessica Pegula at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.27mResolution: 17 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will the WHO declare a new pandemic in 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.27mResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will Novak Djokovic beat Nuno Borges at the 2026 China Open?
Happens
24%
price $0.24
Does not happen
76%
price $0.76
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.23mResolution: 7 October 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Belinda Bencic beat Alexandra Eala at the 2026 National Bank Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.21mResolution: 16 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will the International Court of Justice win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.21mResolution: 1 April 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.21mResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will the US Conduct a Military Strike on Colombian Territory by 31 December 2026?
Happens
21%
price $0.21
Does not happen
79%
price $0.79
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.20mResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will Francisco Cerundolo defeat Taylor Fritz at the 2026 US Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.19mResolution: 11 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Troy Jackson be the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine in 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.17mResolution: 1 August 2026
0 pp
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Happens
17%
price $0.17
Does not happen
83%
price $0.83
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.16mResolution: 1 July 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election?
Happens
69%
price $0.69
Does not happen
31%
price $0.31
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.16mResolution: 4 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Arthur Fils beat Frances Tiafoe at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
93%
price $0.93
Does not happen
7%
price $0.07
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.14mResolution: 30 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election?
Happens
70%
price $0.70
Does not happen
30%
price $0.30
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.13mResolution: 4 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Xi Jinping visit the United States before 2027?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.13mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Coco Gauff beat Jessica Pegula at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.13mResolution: 30 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Kanye West perform live in Russia by 31 October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.10mResolution: 1 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
Did Hubert Hurkacz defeat Novak Djokovic at the 2026 Shanghai Rolex Masters?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.09mResolution: 16 October 2026
Open on Polymarket

Events

Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal levels before July 2027?

Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 28 October 2026?

Will Ben Shelton beat Stefanos Tsitsipas at the 2026 US Open?

Will Kamala Harris win the 2026 California Governor election?

Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Maine U.S. Senate race?

Will Stefanos Tsitsipas beat Jiri Lehecka at the 2026 US Open?

Will the US-Iran ceasefire continue through the 2026 US midterm elections?

Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market cap at the end of 2026?

Will the US government confirm that aliens exist by 31 October 2026?

Will there be a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by 31 December 2026?

Will China and Japan have a military clash before 2027?

Will Kylian Mbappé finish higher than Lamine Yamal in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will the US formally withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Will Iran Lose Control of Kharg Island by 31 October 2026?

Will the US and Iran sign a final nuclear deal by 31 October 2026?

Will Donald Trump be Google's #1 most-searched person globally in 2026?

Will the Boston Red Sox beat the New York Yankees on 5 September 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October 2026?

Will Ben Shelton beat Joao Fonseca at the 2026 National Bank Open?

Will Aryna Sabalenka beat Jessica Pegula at the 2026 US Open?

Will the WHO declare a new pandemic in 2026?

Will Novak Djokovic beat Nuno Borges at the 2026 China Open?

Will Belinda Bencic beat Alexandra Eala at the 2026 National Bank Open?

Will the International Court of Justice win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?

Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?

Will the US Conduct a Military Strike on Colombian Territory by 31 December 2026?

Will Francisco Cerundolo defeat Taylor Fritz at the 2026 US Open?

Will Troy Jackson be the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine in 2026?

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election?

Will Arthur Fils beat Frances Tiafoe at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?

Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election?

Will Xi Jinping visit the United States before 2027?

Will Coco Gauff beat Jessica Pegula at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?

Will Kanye West perform live in Russia by 31 October 2026?

Did Hubert Hurkacz defeat Novak Djokovic at the 2026 Shanghai Rolex Masters?