Events

Filters (2)

36 events / 221

0 pp
Will There Be a Direct Military Clash Between NATO and Russia by 31 August 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.78mResolution: 1 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will the Iranian regime fall by 30 September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.73mResolution: 30 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before the end of 2026?
Happens
22%
price $0.22
Does not happen
78%
price $0.78
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.70mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high by 31 December 2026?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.70mResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will Kamala Harris win the 2026 California Governor election?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.57mResolution: 3 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Hamas officially agree to disarm in Gaza by 31 December 2026?
Happens
28%
price $0.28
Does not happen
72%
price $0.72
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.53mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Iran formally announce its withdrawal from nuclear negotiations with the United States by 15 August 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.53mActual outcome: No
0 pp
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the Republican nomination for South Carolina's 2026 special U.S. Senate election?
Happens
69%
price $0.69
Does not happen
31%
price $0.31
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.53mResolution: 11 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Byron Donalds Win the 2026 Republican Primary for Florida Governor?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.50mActual outcome: Yes
Will the US announce an end to its naval blockade of Iran by 22 August 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.48mActual outcome: No
Will the US announce an end to its naval blockade of Iran by 30 September 2026?
Happens
38%
price $0.38
Does not happen
62%
price $0.62
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.37mResolution: 1 October 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Iran impose a full closure of its national airspace by 31 August 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.33mActual outcome: No
Will the US formally withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.29mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will China and Japan have a military clash before 2027?
Happens
9%
price $0.09
Does not happen
91%
price $0.91
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.29mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Ben Shelton beat Joao Fonseca at the 2026 National Bank Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.28mResolution: 17 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will the US and Iran hold another formal diplomatic meeting by 31 August 2026?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.26mActual outcome: No
0 pp
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on the Chatbot Arena leaderboard at the end of July 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.24mActual outcome: No
Will Belinda Bencic beat Alexandra Eala at the 2026 National Bank Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.21mResolution: 16 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.18mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Arthur Fils beat Frances Tiafoe at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
93%
price $0.93
Does not happen
7%
price $0.07
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.14mResolution: 30 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Coco Gauff beat Jessica Pegula at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.13mResolution: 30 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Netflix release a new episode of Stranger Things by 31 December 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.11mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will the US Senate hold a recorded vote on the CLARITY Act before 8 August 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.10mActual outcome: No
0 pp
Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market cap at the end of 2026?
Happens
73%
price $0.73
Does not happen
27%
price $0.27
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.08mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Brandon Nakashima beat Frances Tiafoe at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.08mResolution: 29 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Arnold Allen be officially announced as Alexander Volkanovski's next UFC opponent?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.07mResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Mercedes win the 2026 Formula 1 Constructors' Championship?
Happens
87%
price $0.87
Does not happen
13%
price $0.13
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.06mResolution: 6 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will BP be acquired before 2027?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.06mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
Did Tommy Paul defeat Alexander Zverev at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.05mResolution: 26 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will the WHO declare a new pandemic in 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.03mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?
Happens
18%
price $0.18
Does not happen
82%
price $0.82
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$977.4kResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Iga Świątek beat Elina Svitolina at the 2026 National Bank Open?
Happens
11%
price $0.11
Does not happen
89%
price $0.89
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$961.0kResolution: 19 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Donald Trump be Google's #1 most-searched person globally in 2026?
Happens
10%
price $0.10
Does not happen
90%
price $0.90
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$914.6kResolution: 31 December 2026
Will the US announce the end of its naval blockade on Iran by 31 December 2026?
Happens
73%
price $0.73
Does not happen
27%
price $0.27
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$909.2kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will the International Court of Justice win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$905.4kResolution: 10 October 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Elena Rybakina beat Coco Gauff at the 2026 National Bank Open?
Happens
30%
price $0.30
Does not happen
70%
price $0.70
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$897.8kResolution: 20 August 2026
Open on Polymarket

Events

Will There Be a Direct Military Clash Between NATO and Russia by 31 August 2026?

Will the Iranian regime fall by 30 September 2026?

Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before the end of 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high by 31 December 2026?

Will Kamala Harris win the 2026 California Governor election?

Will Hamas officially agree to disarm in Gaza by 31 December 2026?

Will Iran formally announce its withdrawal from nuclear negotiations with the United States by 15 August 2026?

Will Darline Graham Nordone win the Republican nomination for South Carolina's 2026 special U.S. Senate election?

Will Byron Donalds Win the 2026 Republican Primary for Florida Governor?

Will the US announce an end to its naval blockade of Iran by 22 August 2026?

Will the US announce an end to its naval blockade of Iran by 30 September 2026?

Will Iran impose a full closure of its national airspace by 31 August 2026?

Will the US formally withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Will China and Japan have a military clash before 2027?

Will Ben Shelton beat Joao Fonseca at the 2026 National Bank Open?

Will the US and Iran hold another formal diplomatic meeting by 31 August 2026?

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on the Chatbot Arena leaderboard at the end of July 2026?

Will Belinda Bencic beat Alexandra Eala at the 2026 National Bank Open?

Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?

Will Arthur Fils beat Frances Tiafoe at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?

Will Coco Gauff beat Jessica Pegula at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?

Will Netflix release a new episode of Stranger Things by 31 December 2026?

Will the US Senate hold a recorded vote on the CLARITY Act before 8 August 2026?

Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market cap at the end of 2026?

Will Brandon Nakashima beat Frances Tiafoe at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?

Will Arnold Allen be officially announced as Alexander Volkanovski's next UFC opponent?

Will Mercedes win the 2026 Formula 1 Constructors' Championship?

Will BP be acquired before 2027?

Did Tommy Paul defeat Alexander Zverev at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?

Will the WHO declare a new pandemic in 2026?

Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?

Will Iga Świątek beat Elina Svitolina at the 2026 National Bank Open?

Will Donald Trump be Google's #1 most-searched person globally in 2026?

Will the US announce the end of its naval blockade on Iran by 31 December 2026?

Will the International Court of Justice win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?

Will Elena Rybakina beat Coco Gauff at the 2026 National Bank Open?