Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$982.2kResolution: 1 November 2026
Events
- 0 pp
Will Paramount Complete a Takeover of Warner Bros. Before July 2027?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$976.6kResolution: 1 July 2027 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$935.2kResolution: 1 April 2027- 0 pp
Will Zohran Mamdani be named Time's Person of the Year for 2026?
Happens
30%
price $0.30
Does not happen
70%
price $0.70
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$928.8kResolution: 1 January 2027 Will Manchester City Win the 2026-27 Champions League?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$915.9kResolution: 20 June 2027- 0 pp
Will the GTA 6 launch be postponed again?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$897.9kResolution: 19 November 2026 - 0 pp
Will the US formally declare war on Iran by 31 December 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$865.7kResolution: 31 December 2026 Will Pete Hegseth leave the role of US Secretary of Defense by 31 December 2026?
Happens
33%
price $0.33
Does not happen
67%
price $0.67
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$860.5kResolution: 1 January 2027Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 31 December 2026?
Happens
28%
price $0.28
Does not happen
72%
price $0.72
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$839.4kResolution: 31 December 2026Will OpenAI complete its IPO by 31 December 2026?
Happens
96%
price $0.96
Does not happen
4%
price $0.04
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$837.5kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$825.7kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$824.8kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Miguel Díaz-Canel cease to be president of Cuba by 31 December 2026?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$782.0kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Bitcoin fall to $62,500 or lower at any point in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$781.7kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Republicans win the 2026 Kansas U.S. Senate race?
Happens
59%
price $0.59
Does not happen
41%
price $0.41
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$779.6kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Bitcoin fall to $65,000 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$758.0kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Kim Jong Un Stop Being North Korea's Supreme Leader by the End of 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$750.8kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$750.8kResolution: 1 January 2027Will the Democratic Party win the 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate race?
Happens
28%
price $0.28
Does not happen
72%
price $0.72
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$740.9kResolution: 4 November 2026Will 2026 be the hottest year on record globally?
Happens
90%
price $0.90
Does not happen
10%
price $0.10
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$740.7kResolution: 2 March 2027- 0 pp
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top-grossing film of 2026 at the US box office?
Happens
94%
price $0.94
Does not happen
6%
price $0.06
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$738.6kResolution: 8 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LaLiga Championship?
Happens
22%
price $0.22
Does not happen
78%
price $0.78
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$735.7kResolution: 15 June 2027 Will the US-Yemen ceasefire hold through 31 October 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$726.7kResolution: 31 October 2026Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October 2026?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$724.4kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Lindsay Clancy be convicted of murder by 31 December 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$724.1kResolution: 1 January 2027Will the Israel-Iran ceasefire hold through 30 November 2026?
Happens
53%
price $0.53
Does not happen
47%
price $0.47
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$711.2kResolution: 30 November 2026- 0 pp
Which club will win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
Happens
25%
price $0.25
Does not happen
75%
price $0.75
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$707.6kResolution: 5 June 2027 Will Anthropic complete an IPO before 2027?
Happens
96%
price $0.96
Does not happen
4%
price $0.04
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$705.0kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Bitcoin fall to $75,000 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$702.4kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Novak Djokovic beat Ugo Humbert at the Swiss Indoors Basel 2026?
Happens
80%
price $0.80
Does not happen
20%
price $0.20
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$698.5kResolution: 3 November 2026Will Bitcoin Reach $92,500 at Any Point in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$678.7kResolution: 1 November 2026Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$677.3kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Happens
98%
price $0.98
Does not happen
2%
price $0.02
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$675.9kResolution: 13 November 2026- 0 pp
Will the 2026 Super Bowl champion visit the White House before the end of 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$669.2kResolution: 31 December 2026 Will a Republican win the 2026 Texas governor race?
Happens
62%
price $0.62
Does not happen
38%
price $0.38
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$664.4kResolution: 4 November 2026Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 15 November 2026 without a US military strike on Iran?
Happens
59%
price $0.59
Does not happen
41%
price $0.41
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$653.7kResolution: 16 November 2026