0 pp
Will the Fed leave interest rates unchanged at its July 2026 meeting?
Happens
87%
price $0.87
Does not happen
13%
price $0.13
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$64.48mResolution: 29 July 2026
Events
- 0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve leave interest rates unchanged after its September 2026 meeting?
Happens
68%
price $0.68
Does not happen
32%
price $0.32
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$10.43mResolution: 16 September 2026 - 0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least once in 2026?
Happens
13%
price $0.13
Does not happen
87%
price $0.87
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$9.75mResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates in 2026?
Happens
55%
price $0.55
Does not happen
45%
price $0.45
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$7.89mResolution: 9 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market cap on 31 July 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.60mResolution: 31 July 2026 - 0 pp
Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market cap at the end of 2026?
Happens
73%
price $0.73
Does not happen
27%
price $0.27
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.08mResolution: 31 December 2026 Will BP be acquired before 2027?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.06mResolution: 31 December 2026Will WTI crude oil hit $90 per barrel at any point in August 2026?
Happens
36%
price $0.36
Does not happen
64%
price $0.64
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$840.6kResolution: 1 September 2026- 0 pp
Will SpaceX have the highest market cap of any company that IPOs in 2026?
Happens
63%
price $0.63
Does not happen
37%
price $0.37
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$784.3kResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market capitalization at the end of August 2026?
Happens
98%
price $0.98
Does not happen
2%
price $0.02
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$599.3kResolution: 31 August 2026 Will WTI Crude Oil Hit $110 a Barrel in August 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$573.4kResolution: 1 September 2026- 0 pp
Will Jerome Powell announce his departure or leave as a Federal Reserve Governor before 1 January 2027?
Happens
19%
price $0.19
Does not happen
81%
price $0.81
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$173.1kActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will the Fed Change Interest Rates at Its October 2026 Meeting?
Happens
72%
price $0.72
Does not happen
28%
price $0.28
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$146.4kResolution: 28 October 2026 Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market capitalization on 30 September 2026?
Happens
93%
price $0.93
Does not happen
7%
price $0.07
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$94.5kResolution: 30 September 2026