0 pp
Will the US government confirm that extraterrestrial life exists before 2027?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$64.69mActual outcome: No
Events
- 0 pp
Will the Fed leave interest rates unchanged at its July 2026 meeting?
Happens
87%
price $0.87
Does not happen
13%
price $0.13
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$64.48mResolution: 29 July 2026 - 0 pp
Who will win the 2026 World Series?
Happens
68%
price $0.68
Does not happen
32%
price $0.32
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$39.54mResolution: 31 October 2026 - 0 pp
Will Base launch its own token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
12%
price $0.12
Does not happen
88%
price $0.88
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$14.47mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve leave interest rates unchanged after its September 2026 meeting?
Happens
68%
price $0.68
Does not happen
32%
price $0.32
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$10.43mResolution: 16 September 2026 - 0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least once in 2026?
Happens
13%
price $0.13
Does not happen
87%
price $0.87
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$9.75mResolution: 31 December 2026 Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$7.96mResolution: 31 December 2026- 0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates in 2026?
Happens
55%
price $0.55
Does not happen
45%
price $0.45
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$7.89mResolution: 9 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Happens
61%
price $0.61
Does not happen
39%
price $0.39
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.70mResolution: 31 October 2026 Will the Democrats win control of the US Senate in the 2026 midterm elections?
Happens
50%
price $0.50
Does not happen
50%
price $0.50
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.37mResolution: 3 November 2026- 0 pp
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Happens
32%
price $0.32
Does not happen
68%
price $0.68
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.93mResolution: 30 April 2027 Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California governor election?
Happens
95%
price $0.95
Does not happen
5%
price $0.05
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.84mResolution: 3 November 2026- 0 pp
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 Premier League title?
Happens
20%
price $0.20
Does not happen
80%
price $0.80
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.80mResolution: 30 May 2027 Will Kamala Harris win the 2026 California Governor election?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.57mResolution: 3 November 2026- 0 pp
Will the GTA 6 launch be postponed again?
Happens
11%
price $0.11
Does not happen
89%
price $0.89
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$712.0kResolution: 19 November 2026 - 0 pp
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$517.0kActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Happens
21%
price $0.21
Does not happen
79%
price $0.79
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$468.3kResolution: 1 July 2027 - 0 pp
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LaLiga championship?
Happens
59%
price $0.59
Does not happen
41%
price $0.41
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$375.4kResolution: 30 May 2027 - 0 pp
Will Arc launch a token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
22%
price $0.22
Does not happen
78%
price $0.78
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$150.3kResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Which club will win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$124.1kResolution: 30 May 2027 - 0 pp
Will Josh Allen Win the 2026 NFL MVP Award?
Happens
10%
price $0.10
Does not happen
90%
price $0.90
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$24.5kResolution: 15 February 2027