Events

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36 events / 221

Will California pass a one-time billionaire wealth tax in the November 2026 election?
Happens
28%
price $0.28
Does not happen
72%
price $0.72
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.68mResolution: 3 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market cap on 31 July 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.60mResolution: 31 July 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will China and Taiwan have a military clash before 2027?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.25mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 at any point in July 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.21mActual outcome: Yes
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy cease to be President of Ukraine by the end of 2026?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.08mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Taylor Fritz beat Brandon Nakashima at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
65%
price $0.65
Does not happen
35%
price $0.35
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.85mResolution: 28 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Nicolás Maduro still be Venezuela's head of state on 31 December 2026?
Happens
86%
price $0.86
Does not happen
14%
price $0.14
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.78mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Donald Trump be out as US President by 31 July 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.75mResolution: 31 July 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Ukraine recapture any territory in Crimea by 31 December 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.65mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Novak Djokovic beat Thiago Agustin Tirante at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.60mResolution: 22 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Jeffrey Epstein be confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.56mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will the Israel-Iran ceasefire hold through 15 August 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.53mActual outcome: Yes
0 pp
Will the Israel-Iran ceasefire hold through 31 August 2026?
Happens
97%
price $0.97
Does not happen
3%
price $0.03
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.51mResolution: 31 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Ethereum fall to $1,500 or lower before the end of 2026?
Happens
10%
price $0.10
Does not happen
90%
price $0.90
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.46mResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.46mActual outcome: No
Will Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed beat the hardcore Minecraft challenge by 17 August 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.43mResolution: 17 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
Happens
18%
price $0.18
Does not happen
82%
price $0.82
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.39mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will the Democrats win control of the US Senate in the 2026 midterm elections?
Happens
50%
price $0.50
Does not happen
50%
price $0.50
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.37mResolution: 3 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will the Israel-Iran ceasefire hold through 9 August 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.36mActual outcome: Yes
0 pp
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka's railway station by the end of 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.28mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by 31 December 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.22mResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal by the end of 2026?
Happens
26%
price $0.26
Does not happen
74%
price $0.74
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$2.19mResolution: 1 January 2027
0 pp
Will Russia and Ukraine reach a ceasefire by 31 December 2026?
Happens
22%
price $0.22
Does not happen
78%
price $0.78
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.16mResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal levels before 1 October 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$2.15mResolution: 1 October 2026
Will Iga Swiatek beat Diana Shnaider at the 2026 National Bank Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.14mResolution: 18 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Iran agree to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by 31 December 2026?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.13mActual outcome: No
Will Jessica Pegula beat Alexandra Eala at the 2026 Mubadala Citi DC Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.08mResolution: 9 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Donald Trump leave office as US President before 31 August 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.04mResolution: 31 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will China invade Taiwan by 30 September 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.01mResolution: 30 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.95mActual outcome: No
0 pp
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Happens
32%
price $0.32
Does not happen
68%
price $0.68
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.93mResolution: 30 April 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will Jessica Pegula beat Amanda Anisimova at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.92mResolution: 28 August 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 at any point in August 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.89mResolution: 1 September 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California governor election?
Happens
95%
price $0.95
Does not happen
5%
price $0.05
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.84mResolution: 3 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Reza Pahlavi become Iran's head of state or government in 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.82mResolution: 1 January 2027
0 pp
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 Premier League title?
Happens
19%
price $0.19
Does not happen
81%
price $0.81
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.80mResolution: 30 May 2027
Open on Polymarket

Events

Will California pass a one-time billionaire wealth tax in the November 2026 election?

Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market cap on 31 July 2026?

Will China and Taiwan have a military clash before 2027?

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 at any point in July 2026?

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy cease to be President of Ukraine by the end of 2026?

Will Taylor Fritz beat Brandon Nakashima at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?

Will Nicolás Maduro still be Venezuela's head of state on 31 December 2026?

Will Donald Trump be out as US President by 31 July 2026?

Will Ukraine recapture any territory in Crimea by 31 December 2026?

Will Novak Djokovic beat Thiago Agustin Tirante at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?

Will Jeffrey Epstein be confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Will the Israel-Iran ceasefire hold through 15 August 2026?

Will the Israel-Iran ceasefire hold through 31 August 2026?

Will Ethereum fall to $1,500 or lower before the end of 2026?

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary?

Will Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed beat the hardcore Minecraft challenge by 17 August 2026?

Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?

Will the Democrats win control of the US Senate in the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the Israel-Iran ceasefire hold through 9 August 2026?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka's railway station by the end of 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by 31 December 2026?

Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal by the end of 2026?

Will Russia and Ukraine reach a ceasefire by 31 December 2026?

Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal levels before 1 October 2026?

Will Iga Swiatek beat Diana Shnaider at the 2026 National Bank Open?

Will Iran agree to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by 31 December 2026?

Will Jessica Pegula beat Alexandra Eala at the 2026 Mubadala Citi DC Open?

Will Donald Trump leave office as US President before 31 August 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by 30 September 2026?

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jessica Pegula beat Amanda Anisimova at the 2026 Cincinnati Open?

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 at any point in August 2026?

Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California governor election?

Will Reza Pahlavi become Iran's head of state or government in 2026?

Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 Premier League title?