0 pp
Who will win the 2026 World Series?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$48.18mActual outcome: No
Events
- 0 pp
Will the US government confirm that extraterrestrial life exists before 2027?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$43.08mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be President of Russia by 31 December 2026?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$26.73mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least once in 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$12.18mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Formula 1 Drivers' Championship?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$7.18mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will OpenSea launch a token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$5.67mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by 31 December 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$5.58mActual outcome: Yes Which team will win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$4.91mActual outcome: NoWho will win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Happens
16%
price $0.16
Does not happen
84%
price $0.84
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$4.07mActual outcome: No- 0 pp
Will Russia and Ukraine reach a ceasefire by 31 December 2026?
Happens
16%
price $0.16
Does not happen
84%
price $0.84
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$3.08mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Iran agree to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by 31 December 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.50mActual outcome: No Will the Bab el-Mandeb Strait be effectively closed to shipping by 31 October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.67mActual outcome: No- 0 pp
Will Apple release the iPhone 18 before 2027?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.50mActual outcome: No Which team will win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
Happens
68%
price $0.68
Does not happen
32%
price $0.32
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.49mActual outcome: No- 0 pp
Will the SAVE Act become law in the United States before 1 January 2027?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.34mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement from the US Supreme Court by 31 December 2026?
Happens
14%
price $0.14
Does not happen
86%
price $0.86
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.24mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Netflix release a new episode of Stranger Things by 31 December 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.17mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by 31 December 2026?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.09mActual outcome: No Will Gen.G win the 2026 League of Legends World Championship?
Happens
44%
price $0.44
Does not happen
56%
price $0.56
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$758.8kActual outcome: NoWill Iran Fully Close Its Airspace by 31 December 2026?
Happens
34%
price $0.34
Does not happen
66%
price $0.66
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$748.8kActual outcome: No- 0 pp
Will Hyperliquid (HYPE) reach $100 by 31 December 2026?
Happens
21%
price $0.21
Does not happen
79%
price $0.79
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$742.3kActual outcome: Yes Will Ethereum reach a new all-time high price by 31 December 2026?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$690.9kActual outcome: NoWill IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding to Georgina Rodrรญguez?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$677.3kActual outcome: NoWill Saudi Arabia's East-West oil pipeline resume operations by 31 October 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$643.2kActual outcome: NoWill Israel withdraw its ground forces from beyond the Litani River in Lebanon by 31 December 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$534.3kActual outcome: NoWill Russia and Ukraine hold peace talks by 31 October 2026?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$501.9kActual outcome: NoWill Russia and Ukraine hold peace talks by 31 December 2026?
Happens
87%
price $0.87
Does not happen
13%
price $0.13
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$501.9kActual outcome: NoWill WTI Crude Oil Hit $100 a Barrel in October 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$478.7kActual outcome: Yes- 0 pp
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$477.2kActual outcome: No Will OpenAI announce a solution to a Millennium Prize Problem by 31 December 2026?
Happens
17%
price $0.17
Does not happen
83%
price $0.83
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$423.2kActual outcome: No- 0 pp
Will Justice Samuel Alito retire from the Supreme Court before January 2027?
Happens
12%
price $0.12
Does not happen
88%
price $0.88
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$402.7kActual outcome: No Will Anthropic Release a Fable Model (Version 5.2 or Higher) by 31 October 2026?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$399.0kActual outcome: NoWill Hanwha Life Esports win the League of Legends World Championship 2026?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$381.1kActual outcome: No- 0 pp
Will Tesla and SpaceX Officially Announce a Merger by 31 December 2026?
Happens
14%
price $0.14
Does not happen
86%
price $0.86
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$336.0kActual outcome: No Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$332.3kActual outcome: NoWill Anthropic complete an IPO by 15 December 2026?
Happens
93%
price $0.93
Does not happen
7%
price $0.07
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$314.6kActual outcome: No