0 pp
Will Anthropic Have the Best Coding AI Model at the End of 2026?
Happens
76%
price $0.76
Does not happen
24%
price $0.24
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$273.8kResolution: 31 December 2026
Events
Will Unitree Robotics' IPO close with a market capitalization above ¥250 billion?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$268.4kResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Will Israel withdraw all its ground forces from Lebanon by 31 December 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$268.4kActual outcome: No Will Hyperliquid (HYPE) be listed for spot trading on Binance in 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$264.2kResolution: 1 January 2027Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East division title?
Happens
46%
price $0.46
Does not happen
54%
price $0.54
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$263.6kResolution: 4 January 2027Will Apple release the iPhone 18 in 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$252.1kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Anthropic complete an IPO by 15 December 2026?
Happens
84%
price $0.84
Does not happen
16%
price $0.16
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$251.5kActual outcome: No- 0 pp
Will Drake be the most-streamed artist on Spotify in the U.S. in 2026?
Happens
85%
price $0.85
Does not happen
15%
price $0.15
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$250.6kResolution: 31 December 2026 Will Trump meet Putin in person by the end of 2026?
Happens
84%
price $0.84
Does not happen
16%
price $0.16
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$236.3kResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Will Jerome Powell announce his departure or leave as a Federal Reserve Governor before 1 January 2027?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$235.7kActual outcome: No Will Trump Announce a New White House Press Secretary by the End of 2026?
Happens
60%
price $0.60
Does not happen
40%
price $0.40
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$228.0kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Houthi Forces Enter Aden, Yemen by the End of 2026?
Happens
24%
price $0.24
Does not happen
76%
price $0.76
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$226.5kActual outcome: NoWill Nvidia be the world's largest company by market cap on 31 October 2026?
Happens
80%
price $0.80
Does not happen
20%
price $0.20
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$225.0kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Gen.G win the 2026 League of Legends World Championship?
Happens
34%
price $0.34
Does not happen
66%
price $0.66
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$219.5kResolution: 29 November 2026Will Ohio enact a statewide data center moratorium by the end of 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$202.1kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Elon Musk be the world's richest person on 31 December 2026?
Happens
98%
price $0.98
Does not happen
2%
price $0.02
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$198.0kResolution: 31 December 2026Will Unitree Robotics' IPO closing market capitalization exceed ¥100 billion?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$192.6kResolution: 1 January 2027Will the Republican candidate win the 2026 Florida governor race?
Happens
82%
price $0.82
Does not happen
18%
price $0.18
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$187.2kResolution: 4 November 2026- 0 pp
Will Bad Bunny be the most-streamed artist on Spotify in 2026?
Happens
88%
price $0.88
Does not happen
12%
price $0.12
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$177.6kResolution: 1 January 2027 Will Tempo launch a governance token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$177.2kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Donald Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in person in 2026?
Happens
84%
price $0.84
Does not happen
16%
price $0.16
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$176.6kResolution: 31 December 2026Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$174.1kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Consensys IPO by 31 December 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$171.5kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Hanwha Life Esports win the League of Legends World Championship 2026?
Happens
18%
price $0.18
Does not happen
82%
price $0.82
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$168.0kActual outcome: NoWill Friedrich Merz stop being Chancellor of Germany before 31 October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$167.2kActual outcome: NoWill the Democratic candidate win the 2026 Michigan governor race?
Happens
94%
price $0.94
Does not happen
6%
price $0.06
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$166.2kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Russia announce a new forced military mobilization by the end of 2026?
Happens
11%
price $0.11
Does not happen
89%
price $0.89
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$163.7kActual outcome: No- 0 pp
Will Arc launch a token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
12%
price $0.12
Does not happen
88%
price $0.88
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$157.1kResolution: 1 January 2027 Will Israeli airspace be closed by 31 December 2026?
Happens
27%
price $0.27
Does not happen
73%
price $0.73
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$155.8kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Unitree Robotics' IPO close with a market capitalization above ¥60 billion?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$154.9kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Scott Jennings Be Named the Next White House Press Secretary?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$153.6kResolution: 31 December 2026- 0 pp
Will OpenAI officially announce an IPO before January 1, 2027?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$150.3kActual outcome: No Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Happens
17%
price $0.17
Does not happen
83%
price $0.83
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$133.3kResolution: 1 January 2027Will the US carry out military strikes on 8 or more countries in 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$131.2kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Russia capture any territory of Kharkiv city by 31 December 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$125.7kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapons test by 31 December 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$116.0kResolution: 1 January 2027