Events

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36 events / 197

Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal by 30 November 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.08mResolution: 1 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will SpaceX have the highest market cap of any company that IPOs in 2026?
Happens
52%
price $0.52
Does not happen
48%
price $0.48
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.07mResolution: 2 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will Arnold Allen be officially announced as Alexander Volkanovski's next UFC opponent?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.07mResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will BP be acquired before 2027?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.07mResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will the 2026 US midterm elections take place as scheduled on 3 November 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.06mResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on the LMArena leaderboard at the end of October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.05mResolution: 31 October 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin fall to $77,500 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
23%
price $0.23
Does not happen
77%
price $0.77
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.02mResolution: 1 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$996.2kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$981.9kResolution: 1 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will the GTA 6 launch be postponed again?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$897.9kResolution: 19 November 2026
Open on Binance Wallet
0 pp
Will the US formally declare war on Iran by 31 December 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$865.7kResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Pete Hegseth leave the role of US Secretary of Defense by 31 December 2026?
Happens
33%
price $0.33
Does not happen
67%
price $0.67
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$860.5kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 31 December 2026?
Happens
27%
price $0.27
Does not happen
73%
price $0.73
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$838.6kResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will OpenAI complete its IPO by 31 December 2026?
Happens
96%
price $0.96
Does not happen
4%
price $0.04
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$837.5kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$825.7kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$823.4kResolution: 1 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel cease to be president of Cuba by 31 December 2026?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$782.0kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin fall to $62,500 or lower at any point in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$781.7kResolution: 1 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Republicans win the 2026 Kansas U.S. Senate race?
Happens
59%
price $0.59
Does not happen
41%
price $0.41
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$779.2kResolution: 4 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin fall to $65,000 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$756.9kResolution: 1 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Kim Jong Un Stop Being North Korea's Supreme Leader by the End of 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$750.8kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$750.8kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will the Democratic Party win the 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate race?
Happens
28%
price $0.28
Does not happen
72%
price $0.72
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$738.9kResolution: 4 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
0 pp
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top-grossing film of 2026 at the US box office?
Happens
94%
price $0.94
Does not happen
6%
price $0.06
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$738.4kResolution: 8 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will the US-Yemen ceasefire hold through 31 October 2026?
Happens
98%
price $0.98
Does not happen
2%
price $0.02
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$726.7kResolution: 31 October 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October 2026?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$724.1kResolution: 1 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Lindsay Clancy be convicted of murder by 31 December 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$724.1kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will the Israel-Iran ceasefire hold through 30 November 2026?
Happens
53%
price $0.53
Does not happen
47%
price $0.47
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$711.2kResolution: 30 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Anthropic complete an IPO before 2027?
Happens
95%
price $0.95
Does not happen
5%
price $0.05
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$705.0kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will Novak Djokovic beat Ugo Humbert at the Swiss Indoors Basel 2026?
Happens
80%
price $0.80
Does not happen
20%
price $0.20
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$698.5kResolution: 3 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin fall to $75,000 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$698.1kResolution: 1 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin Reach $92,500 at Any Point in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$678.4kResolution: 1 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$677.3kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Happens
98%
price $0.98
Does not happen
2%
price $0.02
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$675.9kResolution: 13 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will a Republican win the 2026 Texas governor race?
Happens
62%
price $0.62
Does not happen
38%
price $0.38
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$664.2kResolution: 4 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$653.4kResolution: 1 November 2026
Open on Polymarket

Events

Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal by 30 November 2026?

Will SpaceX have the highest market cap of any company that IPOs in 2026?

Will Arnold Allen be officially announced as Alexander Volkanovski's next UFC opponent?

Will BP be acquired before 2027?

Will the 2026 US midterm elections take place as scheduled on 3 November 2026?

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on the LMArena leaderboard at the end of October 2026?

Will Bitcoin fall to $77,500 at any point in October 2026?

Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October 2026?

Will the GTA 6 launch be postponed again?

Will the US formally declare war on Iran by 31 December 2026?

Will Pete Hegseth leave the role of US Secretary of Defense by 31 December 2026?

Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 31 December 2026?

Will OpenAI complete its IPO by 31 December 2026?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October 2026?

Will Miguel Díaz-Canel cease to be president of Cuba by 31 December 2026?

Will Bitcoin fall to $62,500 or lower at any point in October 2026?

Will Republicans win the 2026 Kansas U.S. Senate race?

Will Bitcoin fall to $65,000 at any point in October 2026?

Will Kim Jong Un Stop Being North Korea's Supreme Leader by the End of 2026?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Will the Democratic Party win the 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate race?

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top-grossing film of 2026 at the US box office?

Will the US-Yemen ceasefire hold through 31 October 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October 2026?

Will Lindsay Clancy be convicted of murder by 31 December 2026?

Will the Israel-Iran ceasefire hold through 30 November 2026?

Will Anthropic complete an IPO before 2027?

Will Novak Djokovic beat Ugo Humbert at the Swiss Indoors Basel 2026?

Will Bitcoin fall to $75,000 at any point in October 2026?

Will Bitcoin Reach $92,500 at Any Point in October 2026?

Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?

Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?

Will a Republican win the 2026 Texas governor race?

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October 2026?