0 pp
Will the US government confirm that extraterrestrial life exists before 2027?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$66.21mActual outcome: No
Events
- 0 pp
Who will win the 2026 World Series?
Happens
52%
price $0.52
Does not happen
48%
price $0.48
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$40.48mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be President of Russia by 31 December 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$21.15mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$12.03mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Polymarket launch an official platform token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$11.99mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Formula 1 Drivers' Championship?
Happens
91%
price $0.91
Does not happen
9%
price $0.09
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$5.87mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by 31 December 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$5.47mActual outcome: Yes - 0 pp
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Happens
60%
price $0.60
Does not happen
40%
price $0.40
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$4.16mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Russia and Ukraine reach a ceasefire by 31 December 2026?
Happens
23%
price $0.23
Does not happen
77%
price $0.77
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.62mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Iran agree to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by 31 December 2026?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.24mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will the SAVE Act become law in the United States before 1 January 2027?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.20mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by 31 December 2026?
Happens
39%
price $0.39
Does not happen
61%
price $0.61
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$892.3kActual outcome: No Which team will win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
Happens
46%
price $0.46
Does not happen
54%
price $0.54
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$868.8kActual outcome: NoWill IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding to Georgina Rodríguez?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$677.3kActual outcome: No- 0 pp
Will Hyperliquid (HYPE) reach $100 by 31 December 2026?
Happens
49%
price $0.49
Does not happen
51%
price $0.51
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$632.0kActual outcome: Yes - 0 pp
Will OpenAI release GPT-6 to the general public by September 30, 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$580.6kActual outcome: No Will Israel withdraw its ground forces from beyond the Litani River in Lebanon by 31 December 2026?
Happens
13%
price $0.13
Does not happen
87%
price $0.87
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$510.7kActual outcome: No- 0 pp
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$477.2kActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend of any movie released in 2026?
Happens
53%
price $0.53
Does not happen
47%
price $0.47
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$345.9kActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Justice Samuel Alito retire from the Supreme Court before January 2027?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$324.9kActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Anthropic release a model called "Mythos" before January 1, 2027?
Happens
12%
price $0.12
Does not happen
88%
price $0.88
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$248.3kActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Israel withdraw all its ground forces from Lebanon by 31 December 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$225.8kActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Jerome Powell announce his departure or leave as a Federal Reserve Governor before 1 January 2027?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$193.7kActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will OpenAI officially announce an IPO before January 1, 2027?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$136.8kActual outcome: No