Will Lindsay Clancy be convicted of murder by 31 December 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$716.1kResolution: 1 January 2027
Events
Will Likud win the most seats in Israel's 2026 election?
Happens
31%
price $0.31
Does not happen
69%
price $0.69
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$711.6kResolution: 28 October 2026Will Anthropic have the best AI model on the LMArena leaderboard at the end of October 2026?
Happens
13%
price $0.13
Does not happen
87%
price $0.87
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$711.2kResolution: 31 October 2026Will the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 31 December 2026?
Happens
28%
price $0.28
Does not happen
72%
price $0.72
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$707.1kResolution: 31 December 2026Will the 2026 US midterm elections take place as scheduled on 3 November 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$703.5kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Kylian Mbappé finish higher than Lamine Yamal in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Happens
72%
price $0.72
Does not happen
28%
price $0.28
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$700.5kResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Which club will win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
Happens
26%
price $0.26
Does not happen
74%
price $0.74
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$695.1kResolution: 5 June 2027 Will Anthropic complete an IPO before 2027?
Happens
86%
price $0.86
Does not happen
14%
price $0.14
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$677.9kResolution: 1 January 2027Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding to Georgina Rodríguez?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$677.3kActual outcome: NoWill OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$676.6kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Pete Hegseth leave the role of US Secretary of Defense by 31 December 2026?
Happens
21%
price $0.21
Does not happen
79%
price $0.79
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$676.1kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Happens
98%
price $0.98
Does not happen
2%
price $0.02
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$675.6kResolution: 13 November 2026Will Republicans win the 2026 Kansas U.S. Senate race?
Happens
62%
price $0.62
Does not happen
38%
price $0.38
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$667.6kResolution: 4 November 2026- 0 pp
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LaLiga Championship?
Happens
14%
price $0.14
Does not happen
86%
price $0.86
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$665.2kResolution: 15 June 2027 - 0 pp
Will the 2026 Super Bowl champion visit the White House before the end of 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$665.2kResolution: 31 December 2026 Will the Israel-Iran ceasefire hold through 30 November 2026?
Happens
52%
price $0.52
Does not happen
48%
price $0.48
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$643.4kResolution: 30 November 2026Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$643.4kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Saudi Arabia's East-West oil pipeline resume operations by 31 October 2026?
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$643.2kActual outcome: NoWill Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
Happens
2%
price $0.02
Does not happen
98%
price $0.98
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$634.8kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Ethereum reach a new all-time high price by 31 December 2026?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$631.5kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$629.4kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Russia invade another country besides Ukraine in 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$626.8kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Bitcoin fall to $62,500 or lower at any point in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$626.1kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Iran formally withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2027?
Happens
12%
price $0.12
Does not happen
88%
price $0.88
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$624.6kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Bitcoin fall to $77,500 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
30%
price $0.30
Does not happen
70%
price $0.70
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$623.0kResolution: 1 November 2026Will OpenAI complete an IPO before 2027?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$609.6kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Iran Fully Close Its Airspace by 31 December 2026?
Happens
40%
price $0.40
Does not happen
60%
price $0.60
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$606.8kActual outcome: NoWill Russia capture Lyman, Ukraine by 31 December 2026?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$585.0kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Bitcoin fall to $65,000 at any point in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$575.2kResolution: 1 November 2026Will the Democratic Party win the 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate race?
Happens
19%
price $0.19
Does not happen
81%
price $0.81
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$568.6kResolution: 4 November 2026Will Bitcoin fall to $60,000 or below in October 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$568.4kResolution: 1 November 2026Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October 2026?
Happens
9%
price $0.09
Does not happen
91%
price $0.91
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$559.2kResolution: 1 November 2026Will there be a military clash between China and the Philippines before 2027?
Happens
23%
price $0.23
Does not happen
77%
price $0.77
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$551.5kResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LaLiga championship?
Happens
81%
price $0.81
Does not happen
19%
price $0.19
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$548.1kResolution: 30 May 2027 Will Kim Jong Un Stop Being North Korea's Supreme Leader by the End of 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$544.4kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Israel withdraw its ground forces from beyond the Litani River in Lebanon by 31 December 2026?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$533.9kActual outcome: No