0 pp
Will US tech layoffs be higher in 2026 than in 2025?
Happens
96%
price $0.96
Does not happen
4%
price $0.04
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$31.47mResolution: 1 March 2027
Events
- 0 pp
Will Claude be the top-ranked AI model on LM Arena at the end of 2026?
Happens
69%
price $0.69
Does not happen
31%
price $0.31
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$2.30mResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will Apple release the iPhone 18 before 2027?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.28mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Anthropic Have the Best Coding AI Model at the End of 2026?
Happens
63%
price $0.63
Does not happen
37%
price $0.37
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$253.1kResolution: 31 December 2026