0 pp
Will Netflix release a new episode of Stranger Things by 31 December 2026?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.10mResolution: 31 December 2026
Events
- −1 pp
Will Paramount Complete a Takeover of Warner Bros. Before July 2027?
Happens
30%
price $0.30
Does not happen
70%
price $0.70
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$895.2kResolution: 1 July 2027 - −1 pp
Will Grand Theft Auto VI be released before 1 January 2027?
Happens
89%
price $0.89
Does not happen
11%
price $0.11
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$625.5kResolution: 1 January 2027 - −0.5 pp
Will Donald Trump be Google's #1 most-searched person globally in 2026?
Happens
14%
price $0.14
Does not happen
86%
price $0.86
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$564.5kResolution: 31 December 2026 - +3 pp
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top-grossing film of 2026 at the US box office?
Happens
86%
price $0.86
Does not happen
14%
price $0.14
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$480.5kResolution: 31 December 2026 - +1 pp
Will Zohran Mamdani be named Time's Person of the Year for 2026?
Happens
27%
price $0.27
Does not happen
73%
price $0.73
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$227.1kResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother Season 28?
Happens
19%
price $0.19
Does not happen
81%
price $0.81
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$210.4kResolution: 7 January 2027 - −1 pp
Will Drake be the most-streamed artist on Spotify in the U.S. in 2026?
Happens
78%
price $0.78
Does not happen
22%
price $0.22
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$191.1kResolution: 31 December 2026 - −10.5 pp
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend of any movie released in 2026?
Happens
53%
price $0.53
Does not happen
47%
price $0.47
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$169.8kResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will Bad Bunny be the most-streamed artist on Spotify in 2026?
Happens
78%
price $0.78
Does not happen
22%
price $0.22
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$124.4kResolution: 1 January 2027