0 pp
Will the US government confirm that extraterrestrial life exists before 2027?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$43.08mActual outcome: No
Events
- 0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least once in 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$12.18mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Formula 1 Drivers' Championship?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$7.18mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will OpenSea launch a token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$5.67mActual outcome: No