0 pp
Who will win the 2026 World Series?
Happens
64%
price $0.64
Does not happen
36%
price $0.36
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$45.64mActual outcome: No
Events
- 0 pp
Will the US government confirm that extraterrestrial life exists before 2027?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$42.44mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will the Fed Change Interest Rates at Its October 2026 Meeting?
Happens
94%
price $0.94
Does not happen
6%
price $0.06
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$16.74mResolution: 29 October 2026 - 0 pp
Will Base launch its own token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$14.77mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least once in 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$11.84mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates in 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$10.02mResolution: 9 December 2026 Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$7.96mResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Happens
77%
price $0.77
Does not happen
23%
price $0.23
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$6.85mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Formula 1 Drivers' Championship?
Happens
98%
price $0.98
Does not happen
2%
price $0.02
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$6.65mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will the Democrats win control of the US Senate in the 2026 midterm elections?
Happens
69%
price $0.69
Does not happen
31%
price $0.31
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$4.56mResolution: 3 November 2026 Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California governor election?
Happens
97%
price $0.97
Does not happen
3%
price $0.03
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$2.31mResolution: 4 November 2026Will Kamala Harris win the 2026 California Governor election?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.57mResolution: 4 November 2026- 0 pp
Will NVIDIA be the world's largest company by market cap at the end of 2026?
Happens
62%
price $0.62
Does not happen
38%
price $0.38
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$1.47mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will the GTA 6 launch be postponed again?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$880.0kResolution: 19 November 2026 - 0 pp
Will Arc launch a token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
12%
price $0.12
Does not happen
88%
price $0.88
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$157.1kResolution: 1 January 2027