Events

Filters (2)

17 events / 197

Will NATO and Russian military forces engage in a direct armed clash by 30 November 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$131.7kResolution: 1 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will the US carry out military strikes on 8 or more countries in 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$131.2kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will Russia capture any territory of Kharkiv city by 31 December 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$125.7kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapons test by 31 December 2026?
Happens
6%
price $0.06
Does not happen
94%
price $0.94
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$116.0kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will Russia and Ukraine reach a ceasefire agreement by 30 November 2026?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$114.0kResolution: 1 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Google have the top-ranked AI model on LMArena at the end of November 2026?
Happens
72%
price $0.72
Does not happen
28%
price $0.28
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$102.5kResolution: 1 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Russia capture Mykolaivka, Donetsk Oblast, by 31 December 2026?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$96.4kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for US President before the end of 2026?
Happens
14%
price $0.14
Does not happen
86%
price $0.86
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$90.9kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by the end of 2026?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$89.5kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will Delcy Rodríguez Be Venezuela's De Facto Leader By The End Of 2026?
Happens
89%
price $0.89
Does not happen
11%
price $0.11
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$84.9kResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
Happens
80%
price $0.80
Does not happen
20%
price $0.20
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$84.9kResolution: 19 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Oura's IPO value the company at $20 billion or more on day one?
Happens
3%
price $0.03
Does not happen
97%
price $0.97
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$73.9kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next of this group of world leaders to leave office before 2027?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$73.2kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will the US sign a new trade deal with India before 2027?
Happens
18%
price $0.18
Does not happen
82%
price $0.82
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$68.9kResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will an AI lab solve a Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?
Happens
14%
price $0.14
Does not happen
86%
price $0.86
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$62.5kResolution: 1 January 2027
Open on Polymarket
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?
Happens
98%
price $0.98
Does not happen
2%
price $0.02
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$9.6kResolution: 19 November 2026
Open on Polymarket
Will Rockstar confirm that GTA VI gameplay was leaked by the end of 2026?
Happens
98%
price $0.98
Does not happen
2%
price $0.02
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$9.6kResolution: 31 December 2026
Open on Polymarket

Events

Will NATO and Russian military forces engage in a direct armed clash by 30 November 2026?

Will the US carry out military strikes on 8 or more countries in 2026?

Will Russia capture any territory of Kharkiv city by 31 December 2026?

Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapons test by 31 December 2026?

Will Russia and Ukraine reach a ceasefire agreement by 30 November 2026?

Will Google have the top-ranked AI model on LMArena at the end of November 2026?

Will Russia capture Mykolaivka, Donetsk Oblast, by 31 December 2026?

Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for US President before the end of 2026?

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by the end of 2026?

Will Delcy Rodríguez Be Venezuela's De Facto Leader By The End Of 2026?

Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?

Will Oura's IPO value the company at $20 billion or more on day one?

Will Pedro Sánchez be the next of this group of world leaders to leave office before 2027?

Will the US sign a new trade deal with India before 2027?

Will an AI lab solve a Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?

Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?

Will Rockstar confirm that GTA VI gameplay was leaked by the end of 2026?