0 pp
Will the US government confirm that extraterrestrial life exists before 2027?
Happens
5%
price $0.05
Does not happen
95%
price $0.95
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$64.69mActual outcome: No
Events
- 0 pp
Will the United States take sovereignty over Greenland before 2027?
Happens
4%
price $0.04
Does not happen
96%
price $0.96
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$35.35mResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will OpenSea's token have a fully diluted valuation above $1 billion one day after launch?
Happens
9%
price $0.09
Does not happen
91%
price $0.91
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$22.25mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will MetaMask's token be worth more than $1 billion one day after launch?
Happens
8%
price $0.08
Does not happen
92%
price $0.92
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$20.07mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Polymarket move its platform to a new blockchain in 2026?
Happens
17%
price $0.17
Does not happen
83%
price $0.83
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$15.38mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Base launch its own token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
12%
price $0.12
Does not happen
88%
price $0.88
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$14.47mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Polymarket launch an official platform token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
13%
price $0.13
Does not happen
87%
price $0.87
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$11.45mActual outcome: No - 0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least once in 2026?
Happens
14%
price $0.14
Does not happen
86%
price $0.86
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$9.75mResolution: 31 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will the Democrats win control of both the House and the Senate in the 2026 US midterms?
Happens
47%
price $0.47
Does not happen
53%
price $0.53
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$9.72mResolution: 3 November 2026 - 0 pp
Will Lula win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
Happens
63%
price $0.63
Does not happen
37%
price $0.37
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
PolymarketVolume: US$8.90mResolution: 4 October 2026 - 0 pp
Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates in 2026?
Happens
55%
price $0.55
Does not happen
45%
price $0.45
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$7.89mResolution: 9 December 2026 Will Unitree Robotics' IPO closing market cap exceed ยฅ400 billion in 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$6.23mResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Will OpenSea launch a token by 31 December 2026?
Happens
18%
price $0.18
Does not happen
82%
price $0.82
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$5.55mResolution: 1 January 2027 - 0 pp
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Formula 1 Drivers' Championship?
Happens
75%
price $0.75
Does not happen
25%
price $0.25
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$5.41mResolution: 6 December 2026 - 0 pp
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
Happens
7%
price $0.07
Does not happen
93%
price $0.93
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
KalshiVolume: US$1.59mResolution: 1 January 2027 Will Unitree Robotics complete an IPO by 31 December 2026?
Happens
1%
price $0.01
Does not happen
99%
price $0.99
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$513.0kResolution: 1 January 2027- 0 pp
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Happens
21%
price $0.21
Does not happen
79%
price $0.79
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Binance WalletVolume: US$470.8kResolution: 1 July 2027 Will Unitree Robotics' IPO market capitalization exceed ยฅ180 billion?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$325.2kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Unitree Robotics' IPO close with a market capitalization above ยฅ250 billion?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$268.4kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Unitree Robotics' IPO closing market capitalization exceed ยฅ100 billion?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$192.6kResolution: 1 January 2027Will Unitree Robotics' IPO close with a market capitalization above ยฅ60 billion?
Happens
99%
price $0.99
Does not happen
1%
price $0.01
Price is a market estimate of probability, not a yield.
Predict.funVolume: US$154.9kResolution: 1 January 2027